Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models project a daytime maximum of 20–21°C in London on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds. This consensus, consistent across recent runs with minimal spread in high-resolution guidance, underpins the market’s strong preference for 20°C as the leading outcome. Afternoon cloud build-up and exact timing of peak insolation introduce modest uncertainty around whether readings edge to 21°C or settle near 19°C, aligning with the secondary probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 19°C provide additional context, but the current stable pattern shows little deviation expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日伦敦气温最高？
9月18日伦敦气温最高？
20°C 61%
21°C 23%
19°C 18%
18°C 2%
最新
$20,885 交易量
最新
$20,885 交易量
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
18%
20°C
61%
21°C
23%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
20°C 61%
21°C 23%
19°C 18%
18°C 2%
最新
$20,885 交易量
最新
$20,885 交易量
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$197 交易量
<1%
16°C
$251 交易量
<1%
17°C
$533 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,515 交易量
2%
19°C
$4,115 交易量
18%
20°C
$5,279 交易量
61%
21°C
$5,875 交易量
23%
22°C
$1,481 交易量
<1%
23°C
$824 交易量
<1%
24°C
$253 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$562 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models project a daytime maximum of 20–21°C in London on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds. This consensus, consistent across recent runs with minimal spread in high-resolution guidance, underpins the market’s strong preference for 20°C as the leading outcome. Afternoon cloud build-up and exact timing of peak insolation introduce modest uncertainty around whether readings edge to 21°C or settle near 19°C, aligning with the secondary probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 19°C provide additional context, but the current stable pattern shows little deviation expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$20,885结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models project a daytime maximum of 20–21°C in London on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds. This consensus, consistent across recent runs with minimal spread in high-resolution guidance, underpins the market’s strong preference for 20°C as the leading outcome. Afternoon cloud build-up and exact timing of peak insolation introduce modest uncertainty around whether readings edge to 21°C or settle near 19°C, aligning with the secondary probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 19°C provide additional context, but the current stable pattern shows little deviation expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,885结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models project a daytime maximum of 20–21°C in London on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds. This consensus, consistent across recent runs with minimal spread in high-resolution guidance, underpins the market’s strong preference for 20°C as the leading outcome. Afternoon cloud build-up and exact timing of peak insolation introduce modest uncertainty around whether readings edge to 21°C or settle near 19°C, aligning with the secondary probabilities. Historical mid-September averages near 19°C provide additional context, but the current stable pattern shows little deviation expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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