Official Met Office and model consensus forecasts for London on September 17, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum of 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain clearing by afternoon and moderate westerly winds. These conditions, influenced by Atlantic airflow and typical early-autumn climatology, support peak readings near 20–21°C rather than stronger warming or cooling. Hourly observations through mid-morning show temperatures climbing from the mid-teens, aligning with this range while limiting solar heating due to cloud cover. Trader positioning around 21°C (57.5% implied probability) reflects confidence in the stable forecast, with secondary weight on 20°C or 22°C outcomes if afternoon observations deviate slightly from model runs. Updated Met Office guidance and real-time station data remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日伦敦气温最高？
9月17日伦敦气温最高？
21°C 60%
20°C 22%
22°C 18%
19°C 4%
$28,491 交易量
$28,491 交易量
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
22%
21°C
60%
22°C
18%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
21°C 60%
20°C 22%
22°C 18%
19°C 4%
$28,491 交易量
$28,491 交易量
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
$923 交易量
<1%
16°C
$197 交易量
<1%
17°C
$742 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,861 交易量
<1%
19°C
$4,100 交易量
4%
20°C
$5,707 交易量
22%
21°C
$7,955 交易量
60%
22°C
$4,672 交易量
18%
23°C
$1,372 交易量
<1%
24°C
$813 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$149 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and model consensus forecasts for London on September 17, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum of 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain clearing by afternoon and moderate westerly winds. These conditions, influenced by Atlantic airflow and typical early-autumn climatology, support peak readings near 20–21°C rather than stronger warming or cooling. Hourly observations through mid-morning show temperatures climbing from the mid-teens, aligning with this range while limiting solar heating due to cloud cover. Trader positioning around 21°C (57.5% implied probability) reflects confidence in the stable forecast, with secondary weight on 20°C or 22°C outcomes if afternoon observations deviate slightly from model runs. Updated Met Office guidance and real-time station data remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$28,491结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and model consensus forecasts for London on September 17, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum of 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain clearing by afternoon and moderate westerly winds. These conditions, influenced by Atlantic airflow and typical early-autumn climatology, support peak readings near 20–21°C rather than stronger warming or cooling. Hourly observations through mid-morning show temperatures climbing from the mid-teens, aligning with this range while limiting solar heating due to cloud cover. Trader positioning around 21°C (57.5% implied probability) reflects confidence in the stable forecast, with secondary weight on 20°C or 22°C outcomes if afternoon observations deviate slightly from model runs. Updated Met Office guidance and real-time station data remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,491结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETOfficial Met Office and model consensus forecasts for London on September 17, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum of 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain clearing by afternoon and moderate westerly winds. These conditions, influenced by Atlantic airflow and typical early-autumn climatology, support peak readings near 20–21°C rather than stronger warming or cooling. Hourly observations through mid-morning show temperatures climbing from the mid-teens, aligning with this range while limiting solar heating due to cloud cover. Trader positioning around 21°C (57.5% implied probability) reflects confidence in the stable forecast, with secondary weight on 20°C or 22°C outcomes if afternoon observations deviate slightly from model runs. Updated Met Office guidance and real-time station data remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题