**Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and multiple models centers on a daytime high of 27–28°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 17, 2026, with limited spread across ensembles.** Stable high-pressure influence, light easterly winds, and increasing cloud cover without significant moisture or frontal activity support modest daytime warming. Official KMA guidance lists Seoul at 27°C and Incheon at 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with PredictWind, Met Office, and other guidance showing peaks near 27°C. This places the market-implied probabilities (27°C at 49.5%, 26°C at 32%, 28°C at 14.5%) in close alignment with current model runs and climatological norms for mid-September, which average around 25–26°C. No major shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cooling/warming signals have emerged in the latest updates, keeping the outcome tightly clustered while acknowledging typical short-term forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
9月17日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
27°C 50%
26°C 31%
28°C 15%
25℃ 7%
最新
$13,011 交易量
最新
$13,011 交易量
2026-09-17
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
7%
26°C
31%
27°C
50%
28°C
15%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 50%
26°C 31%
28°C 15%
25℃ 7%
最新
$13,011 交易量
最新
$13,011 交易量
2026-09-17
22°C或以下
$498 交易量
1%
23°C
$542 交易量
<1%
24°C
$931 交易量
<1%
25℃
$1,093 交易量
7%
26°C
$2,863 交易量
31%
27°C
$2,036 交易量
50%
28°C
$2,171 交易量
15%
29°C
$726 交易量
2%
30°C
$302 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,527 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$323 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and multiple models centers on a daytime high of 27–28°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 17, 2026, with limited spread across ensembles.**
Stable high-pressure influence, light easterly winds, and increasing cloud cover without significant moisture or frontal activity support modest daytime warming. Official KMA guidance lists Seoul at 27°C and Incheon at 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with PredictWind, Met Office, and other guidance showing peaks near 27°C. This places the market-implied probabilities (27°C at 49.5%, 26°C at 32%, 28°C at 14.5%) in close alignment with current model runs and climatological norms for mid-September, which average around 25–26°C.
No major shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cooling/warming signals have emerged in the latest updates, keeping the outcome tightly clustered while acknowledging typical short-term forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,011结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and multiple models centers on a daytime high of 27–28°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 17, 2026, with limited spread across ensembles.**
Stable high-pressure influence, light easterly winds, and increasing cloud cover without significant moisture or frontal activity support modest daytime warming. Official KMA guidance lists Seoul at 27°C and Incheon at 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with PredictWind, Met Office, and other guidance showing peaks near 27°C. This places the market-implied probabilities (27°C at 49.5%, 26°C at 32%, 28°C at 14.5%) in close alignment with current model runs and climatological norms for mid-September, which average around 25–26°C.
No major shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cooling/warming signals have emerged in the latest updates, keeping the outcome tightly clustered while acknowledging typical short-term forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,011结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and multiple models centers on a daytime high of 27–28°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 17, 2026, with limited spread across ensembles.** Stable high-pressure influence, light easterly winds, and increasing cloud cover without significant moisture or frontal activity support modest daytime warming. Official KMA guidance lists Seoul at 27°C and Incheon at 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with PredictWind, Met Office, and other guidance showing peaks near 27°C. This places the market-implied probabilities (27°C at 49.5%, 26°C at 32%, 28°C at 14.5%) in close alignment with current model runs and climatological norms for mid-September, which average around 25–26°C. No major shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cooling/warming signals have emerged in the latest updates, keeping the outcome tightly clustered while acknowledging typical short-term forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题