Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a regional weather system are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 23–25°C for Chongqing’s September 18 maximum, with 25°C narrowly leading at 22%. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and model consensus point to small-to-moderate rain through the day, limiting solar heating and holding highs to the 21–26°C range amid high humidity and light northeast winds. This aligns with recent cooling after mid-September rains rather than the city’s typical late-summer peak near 27°C. Final resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary surface station, with any late-day clearing or timing shifts in precipitation the key variables that could nudge the outcome toward the 26°C tail or the 22°C floor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日重庆气温最高?
24°C 22%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
26°C 18%
$10,161 交易量
$10,161 交易量
22℃及以下
17%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
18%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
24°C 22%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
26°C 18%
$10,161 交易量
$10,161 交易量
22℃及以下
17%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
18%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a regional weather system are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 23–25°C for Chongqing’s September 18 maximum, with 25°C narrowly leading at 22%. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and model consensus point to small-to-moderate rain through the day, limiting solar heating and holding highs to the 21–26°C range amid high humidity and light northeast winds. This aligns with recent cooling after mid-September rains rather than the city’s typical late-summer peak near 27°C. Final resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary surface station, with any late-day clearing or timing shifts in precipitation the key variables that could nudge the outcome toward the 26°C tail or the 22°C floor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题