Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight into September 18, favoring radiative cooling within a mild air mass and producing minimum temperatures in the low to mid-50s across the Seattle area. This aligns closely with mid-September climatological averages near 52–53 °F at Sea-Tac, where high pressure has maintained dry conditions after earlier warmth. The resulting market-implied odds heavily favor the 54–55 °F bin at 56 %, with 52–53 °F as the next most probable outcome, reflecting trader assessment of limited downside risk absent stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that could moderate the overnight low. Updated model runs and the evening NWS briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日西雅图最低气温？
9月18日西雅图最低气温？
54-55°F 58%
52-53°F 30%
50-51°F 19%
56-57°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
45华氏度或以下
5%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
30%
54-55°F
58%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
7%
62-63华氏度
5%
64°F或更高
5%
54-55°F 58%
52-53°F 30%
50-51°F 19%
56-57°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
45华氏度或以下
$0 交易量
5%
46-47°F
$0 交易量
7%
48-49°F
$0 交易量
11%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
19%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
30%
54-55°F
$108 交易量
58%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
19%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
11%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
7%
62-63华氏度
$0 交易量
5%
64°F或更高
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight into September 18, favoring radiative cooling within a mild air mass and producing minimum temperatures in the low to mid-50s across the Seattle area. This aligns closely with mid-September climatological averages near 52–53 °F at Sea-Tac, where high pressure has maintained dry conditions after earlier warmth. The resulting market-implied odds heavily favor the 54–55 °F bin at 56 %, with 52–53 °F as the next most probable outcome, reflecting trader assessment of limited downside risk absent stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that could moderate the overnight low. Updated model runs and the evening NWS briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$108结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight into September 18, favoring radiative cooling within a mild air mass and producing minimum temperatures in the low to mid-50s across the Seattle area. This aligns closely with mid-September climatological averages near 52–53 °F at Sea-Tac, where high pressure has maintained dry conditions after earlier warmth. The resulting market-implied odds heavily favor the 54–55 °F bin at 56 %, with 52–53 °F as the next most probable outcome, reflecting trader assessment of limited downside risk absent stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that could moderate the overnight low. Updated model runs and the evening NWS briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$108结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight into September 18, favoring radiative cooling within a mild air mass and producing minimum temperatures in the low to mid-50s across the Seattle area. This aligns closely with mid-September climatological averages near 52–53 °F at Sea-Tac, where high pressure has maintained dry conditions after earlier warmth. The resulting market-implied odds heavily favor the 54–55 °F bin at 56 %, with 52–53 °F as the next most probable outcome, reflecting trader assessment of limited downside risk absent stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that could moderate the overnight low. Updated model runs and the evening NWS briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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