**The market's 100% implied probability on a 15°C high for Wellington on September 17 reflects official observations confirming a daily maximum of exactly 59°F (15°C) at monitoring stations, including Wellington International Airport.** Forecast models and real-time data showed temperatures rising to this peak during the afternoon under partly cloudy conditions before falling amid southerly winds, light rain, and cooling into the evening. This aligns with the day's observed range (roughly 54–59°F) and climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Near-certain consensus stems from the high already being attained and verified by authoritative sources like MetService and airport METAR reports, leaving negligible room for revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-closing measurement discrepancy from a secondary station or an official data correction, both highly improbable at this stage of the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月17日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$57,057 交易量
$57,057 交易量
2026-09-17
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
15°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$57,057 交易量
$57,057 交易量
2026-09-17
9°C或以下
$261 交易量
<1%
10°C
$194 交易量
<1%
11°C
$449 交易量
<1%
12°C
$8,153 交易量
<1%
13°C
$10,083 交易量
<1%
14°C
$19,401 交易量
<1%
15°C
$11,415 交易量
100%
16°C
$5,141 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,067 交易量
<1%
18°C
$494 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$399 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's 100% implied probability on a 15°C high for Wellington on September 17 reflects official observations confirming a daily maximum of exactly 59°F (15°C) at monitoring stations, including Wellington International Airport.**
Forecast models and real-time data showed temperatures rising to this peak during the afternoon under partly cloudy conditions before falling amid southerly winds, light rain, and cooling into the evening. This aligns with the day's observed range (roughly 54–59°F) and climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Near-certain consensus stems from the high already being attained and verified by authoritative sources like MetService and airport METAR reports, leaving negligible room for revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-closing measurement discrepancy from a secondary station or an official data correction, both highly improbable at this stage of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$57,057结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's 100% implied probability on a 15°C high for Wellington on September 17 reflects official observations confirming a daily maximum of exactly 59°F (15°C) at monitoring stations, including Wellington International Airport.**
Forecast models and real-time data showed temperatures rising to this peak during the afternoon under partly cloudy conditions before falling amid southerly winds, light rain, and cooling into the evening. This aligns with the day's observed range (roughly 54–59°F) and climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Near-certain consensus stems from the high already being attained and verified by authoritative sources like MetService and airport METAR reports, leaving negligible room for revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-closing measurement discrepancy from a secondary station or an official data correction, both highly improbable at this stage of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,057结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**The market's 100% implied probability on a 15°C high for Wellington on September 17 reflects official observations confirming a daily maximum of exactly 59°F (15°C) at monitoring stations, including Wellington International Airport.** Forecast models and real-time data showed temperatures rising to this peak during the afternoon under partly cloudy conditions before falling amid southerly winds, light rain, and cooling into the evening. This aligns with the day's observed range (roughly 54–59°F) and climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Near-certain consensus stems from the high already being attained and verified by authoritative sources like MetService and airport METAR reports, leaving negligible room for revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-closing measurement discrepancy from a secondary station or an official data correction, both highly improbable at this stage of the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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