Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day in Wellington on September 18, with northerly winds advecting warmer air and skies clearing after overnight rain. High temperatures are projected near 14°C, aligning closely with the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–14°C, though localized warming or brief sunny intervals could push readings to 15°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 15°C (65.5% implied probability) over 14°C (18.5%), reflecting model spread and the potential for peak afternoon readings to exceed the base forecast amid variable coastal influences. Lower odds for 16°C or below 14°C capture uncertainty in exact maximum timing and measurement location. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 66%
14°C 18%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
最新
$12,558 交易量
最新
$12,558 交易量
2026-09-18
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
18%
15°C
66%
16°C
16%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
15°C 66%
14°C 18%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
最新
$12,558 交易量
最新
$12,558 交易量
2026-09-18
9°C或以下
$253 交易量
<1%
10°C
$299 交易量
<1%
11°C
$333 交易量
<1%
12°C
$618 交易量
1%
13°C
$928 交易量
3%
14°C
$2,232 交易量
18%
15°C
$3,568 交易量
66%
16°C
$2,726 交易量
16%
17°C
$832 交易量
2%
18°C
$691 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$279 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day in Wellington on September 18, with northerly winds advecting warmer air and skies clearing after overnight rain. High temperatures are projected near 14°C, aligning closely with the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–14°C, though localized warming or brief sunny intervals could push readings to 15°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 15°C (65.5% implied probability) over 14°C (18.5%), reflecting model spread and the potential for peak afternoon readings to exceed the base forecast amid variable coastal influences. Lower odds for 16°C or below 14°C capture uncertainty in exact maximum timing and measurement location. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,558结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day in Wellington on September 18, with northerly winds advecting warmer air and skies clearing after overnight rain. High temperatures are projected near 14°C, aligning closely with the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–14°C, though localized warming or brief sunny intervals could push readings to 15°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 15°C (65.5% implied probability) over 14°C (18.5%), reflecting model spread and the potential for peak afternoon readings to exceed the base forecast amid variable coastal influences. Lower odds for 16°C or below 14°C capture uncertainty in exact maximum timing and measurement location. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,558结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day in Wellington on September 18, with northerly winds advecting warmer air and skies clearing after overnight rain. High temperatures are projected near 14°C, aligning closely with the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–14°C, though localized warming or brief sunny intervals could push readings to 15°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 15°C (65.5% implied probability) over 14°C (18.5%), reflecting model spread and the potential for peak afternoon readings to exceed the base forecast amid variable coastal influences. Lower odds for 16°C or below 14°C capture uncertainty in exact maximum timing and measurement location. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题