Forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 19, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 16°C. Northwesterly winds strengthening through the day, combined with partly cloudy skies and limited moisture, support modest warming above seasonal norms near 12–13°C without triggering significant instability or cloud cover that would suppress the maximum. Recent model runs show little divergence, with no incoming fronts or rapid changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this stable spring pattern while allowing modest probability for a 17°C outlier if winds align more favorably.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月19日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 58%
17°C 38%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
最新
$15,824 交易量
最新
$15,824 交易量
2026-09-19
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
58%
17°C
38%
18°C
1%
19℃
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
16°C 58%
17°C 38%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
最新
$15,824 交易量
最新
$15,824 交易量
2026-09-19
10°C或以下
$261 交易量
<1%
11°C
$41 交易量
<1%
12°C
$811 交易量
<1%
13°C
$751 交易量
<1%
14°C
$751 交易量
2%
15°C
$3,474 交易量
6%
16°C
$7,821 交易量
58%
17°C
$1,145 交易量
38%
18°C
$468 交易量
1%
19℃
$41 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 19, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 16°C. Northwesterly winds strengthening through the day, combined with partly cloudy skies and limited moisture, support modest warming above seasonal norms near 12–13°C without triggering significant instability or cloud cover that would suppress the maximum. Recent model runs show little divergence, with no incoming fronts or rapid changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this stable spring pattern while allowing modest probability for a 17°C outlier if winds align more favorably.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$15,824结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 19, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 16°C. Northwesterly winds strengthening through the day, combined with partly cloudy skies and limited moisture, support modest warming above seasonal norms near 12–13°C without triggering significant instability or cloud cover that would suppress the maximum. Recent model runs show little divergence, with no incoming fronts or rapid changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this stable spring pattern while allowing modest probability for a 17°C outlier if winds align more favorably.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,824结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 19, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 16°C. Northwesterly winds strengthening through the day, combined with partly cloudy skies and limited moisture, support modest warming above seasonal norms near 12–13°C without triggering significant instability or cloud cover that would suppress the maximum. Recent model runs show little divergence, with no incoming fronts or rapid changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this stable spring pattern while allowing modest probability for a 17°C outlier if winds align more favorably.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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