Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 18, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35°C (47.5%) and 36°C (29%). Subtropical conditions, light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation (under 25% chance) support strong daytime solar heating above the mid-September climatological average of 31.8°C. Current surface observations show highs near 32°C with dew points around 24°C, consistent with typical late-summer patterns absent major tropical systems or fronts. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs reinforce this range, with traders assigning low probability to extremes given stable steering patterns and limited moisture.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日广州气温最高？
9月18日广州气温最高？
35°C 48%
36°C 28%
34°C 18%
37°C 7%
最新
$16,347 交易量
最新
$16,347 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
18%
35°C
48%
36°C
28%
37°C
7%
38℃或以上
1%
35°C 48%
36°C 28%
34°C 18%
37°C 7%
最新
$16,347 交易量
最新
$16,347 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
$1,952 交易量
<1%
29°C
$149 交易量
<1%
30°C
$662 交易量
<1%
31°C
$276 交易量
<1%
32℃
$411 交易量
<1%
33°C
$902 交易量
2%
34°C
$1,463 交易量
18%
35°C
$3,200 交易量
48%
36°C
$4,094 交易量
28%
37°C
$1,628 交易量
7%
38℃或以上
$1,609 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 18, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35°C (47.5%) and 36°C (29%). Subtropical conditions, light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation (under 25% chance) support strong daytime solar heating above the mid-September climatological average of 31.8°C. Current surface observations show highs near 32°C with dew points around 24°C, consistent with typical late-summer patterns absent major tropical systems or fronts. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs reinforce this range, with traders assigning low probability to extremes given stable steering patterns and limited moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$16,347结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 18, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35°C (47.5%) and 36°C (29%). Subtropical conditions, light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation (under 25% chance) support strong daytime solar heating above the mid-September climatological average of 31.8°C. Current surface observations show highs near 32°C with dew points around 24°C, consistent with typical late-summer patterns absent major tropical systems or fronts. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs reinforce this range, with traders assigning low probability to extremes given stable steering patterns and limited moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,347结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 18, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35°C (47.5%) and 36°C (29%). Subtropical conditions, light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation (under 25% chance) support strong daytime solar heating above the mid-September climatological average of 31.8°C. Current surface observations show highs near 32°C with dew points around 24°C, consistent with typical late-summer patterns absent major tropical systems or fronts. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs reinforce this range, with traders assigning low probability to extremes given stable steering patterns and limited moisture.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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