Persistent high pressure and southerly flow under mostly clear skies are sustaining unseasonable late-summer heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin Bergstrom and Mabry both calling for a 99°F high on September 19. Model consensus clusters in the mid-to-upper 90s, though afternoon wind shifts or minor convective debris could trim peak readings by 1–2°F. This narrow spread explains the near-even market split between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins, as traders weigh official guidance against private-model variability and historical September maxima that rarely exceed 95°F. Final NWS updates and real-time observations on the 19th will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月19日奥斯汀的最高温度？
96-97华氏度 43%
98-99°F 42%
94-95°F 8%
100-101°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
8%
96-97华氏度
43%
98-99°F
42%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106华氏度或更高
<1%
96-97华氏度 43%
98-99°F 42%
94-95°F 8%
100-101°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
87°F或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$4 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$180 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$97 交易量
8%
96-97华氏度
$158 交易量
43%
98-99°F
$299 交易量
42%
100-101°F
$404 交易量
6%
102-103°F
$52 交易量
1%
104-105°F
$113 交易量
1%
106华氏度或更高
$31 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow under mostly clear skies are sustaining unseasonable late-summer heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin Bergstrom and Mabry both calling for a 99°F high on September 19. Model consensus clusters in the mid-to-upper 90s, though afternoon wind shifts or minor convective debris could trim peak readings by 1–2°F. This narrow spread explains the near-even market split between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins, as traders weigh official guidance against private-model variability and historical September maxima that rarely exceed 95°F. Final NWS updates and real-time observations on the 19th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,449结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow under mostly clear skies are sustaining unseasonable late-summer heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin Bergstrom and Mabry both calling for a 99°F high on September 19. Model consensus clusters in the mid-to-upper 90s, though afternoon wind shifts or minor convective debris could trim peak readings by 1–2°F. This narrow spread explains the near-even market split between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins, as traders weigh official guidance against private-model variability and historical September maxima that rarely exceed 95°F. Final NWS updates and real-time observations on the 19th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,449结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETPersistent high pressure and southerly flow under mostly clear skies are sustaining unseasonable late-summer heat across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin Bergstrom and Mabry both calling for a 99°F high on September 19. Model consensus clusters in the mid-to-upper 90s, though afternoon wind shifts or minor convective debris could trim peak readings by 1–2°F. This narrow spread explains the near-even market split between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins, as traders weigh official guidance against private-model variability and historical September maxima that rarely exceed 95°F. Final NWS updates and real-time observations on the 19th will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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