Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds over Shenzhen on September 19, supporting daytime highs near 32–33 °C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-summer subtropical regimes. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for 33 °C and 32 °C, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average around 31 °C, and absent any approaching frontal systems or tropical moisture, models show little deviation expected before final observations. Updated guidance from regional agencies later today could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or humidity trends shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日深圳气温最高?
33°C 44%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 7%
$19,724 交易量
$19,724 交易量
28℃或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
27%
33°C
44%
34°C
24%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 44%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 7%
$19,724 交易量
$19,724 交易量
28℃或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
27%
33°C
44%
34°C
24%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds over Shenzhen on September 19, supporting daytime highs near 32–33 °C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-summer subtropical regimes. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for 33 °C and 32 °C, reflecting trader consensus on limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average around 31 °C, and absent any approaching frontal systems or tropical moisture, models show little deviation expected before final observations. Updated guidance from regional agencies later today could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or humidity trends shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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