Recent forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and GFS consensus project a daily maximum near 16°C in Helsinki on September 20, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air while extensive cloud cover and showers limit surface heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs hover around 15–16°C amid transitional autumn conditions. Trader positioning favors 17°C as the leading outcome due to minor upside uncertainty in model runs, with 16°C as a close secondary amid expected rain and winds of 10–15 m/s. Updated guidance on cloud breaks or wind shifts could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日赫尔辛基的最高温度?
17°C 69%
16°C 21%
18°C 10%
15°C 3%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
21%
17°C
69%
18°C
10%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
17°C 69%
16°C 21%
18°C 10%
15°C 3%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
21%
17°C
69%
18°C
10%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and GFS consensus project a daily maximum near 16°C in Helsinki on September 20, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air while extensive cloud cover and showers limit surface heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs hover around 15–16°C amid transitional autumn conditions. Trader positioning favors 17°C as the leading outcome due to minor upside uncertainty in model runs, with 16°C as a close secondary amid expected rain and winds of 10–15 m/s. Updated guidance on cloud breaks or wind shifts could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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