Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers over Chongqing through September 19, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 26–29 °C. These conditions stem from a transitional monsoon pattern with weak steering flow and elevated precipitable water, consistent with seasonal September climatology where average highs hover around 27 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the tightly bunched 26–29 °C outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any partial clearing or convective timing, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on the final model runs and observational updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日重庆气温最高?
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 23%
30°C 19%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
13%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
16%
30°C
19%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
3%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
28°C 23%
30°C 19%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
13%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
16%
30°C
19%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers over Chongqing through September 19, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 26–29 °C. These conditions stem from a transitional monsoon pattern with weak steering flow and elevated precipitable water, consistent with seasonal September climatology where average highs hover around 27 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the tightly bunched 26–29 °C outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any partial clearing or convective timing, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on the final model runs and observational updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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