Persistent rainfall tied to the Huaxi autumn rain period, which Chongqing meteorological authorities expect to begin around September 15 with above-average totals, is the dominant factor capping temperatures. Official forecasts for September 17 show widespread moderate to heavy rain driven by a shear line and low-level jet, producing extensive cloud cover that sharply reduces daytime solar heating and keeps surface maxima in the 20–25 °C range. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains modest, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C; any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 24 °C or higher, while heavier or more prolonged rain would reinforce the cooler outcomes already favored by traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日重庆气温最高?
21°C或以下 29%
22°C 26%
23°C 25%
24°C 14%
21°C或以下
29%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
14%
25℃
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
21°C或以下 29%
22°C 26%
23°C 25%
24°C 14%
21°C或以下
29%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
14%
25℃
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rainfall tied to the Huaxi autumn rain period, which Chongqing meteorological authorities expect to begin around September 15 with above-average totals, is the dominant factor capping temperatures. Official forecasts for September 17 show widespread moderate to heavy rain driven by a shear line and low-level jet, producing extensive cloud cover that sharply reduces daytime solar heating and keeps surface maxima in the 20–25 °C range. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains modest, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C; any break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 24 °C or higher, while heavier or more prolonged rain would reinforce the cooler outcomes already favored by traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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