Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to daytime highs of 30–32°C in Manila on September 15 amid typical early-monsoon conditions of high humidity near 80%, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds. These factors limit extreme heating while allowing brief warmer spells under partial cloud cover, aligning with the historical September average maximum near 31°C. Trader positioning favoring 32–33°C reflects this narrow range and low likelihood of significant deviation, as no major tropical disturbance or anomalous steering pattern is indicated in the latest runs. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by PAGASA or equivalent monitoring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月15日马尼拉的最高温度？
33°C 49%
32°C 34%
31°C 9%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
34%
33°C
49%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 49%
32°C 34%
31°C 9%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
27°C或以下
$66 交易量
<1%
28°C
$20 交易量
<1%
29°C
$83 交易量
<1%
30°C
$465 交易量
2%
31°C
$1,875 交易量
9%
32°C
$1,195 交易量
34%
33°C
$2,881 交易量
49%
34°C
$868 交易量
7%
35°C
$522 交易量
<1%
36°C
$66 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$16 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to daytime highs of 30–32°C in Manila on September 15 amid typical early-monsoon conditions of high humidity near 80%, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds. These factors limit extreme heating while allowing brief warmer spells under partial cloud cover, aligning with the historical September average maximum near 31°C. Trader positioning favoring 32–33°C reflects this narrow range and low likelihood of significant deviation, as no major tropical disturbance or anomalous steering pattern is indicated in the latest runs. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by PAGASA or equivalent monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
交易量
$8,057结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to daytime highs of 30–32°C in Manila on September 15 amid typical early-monsoon conditions of high humidity near 80%, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds. These factors limit extreme heating while allowing brief warmer spells under partial cloud cover, aligning with the historical September average maximum near 31°C. Trader positioning favoring 32–33°C reflects this narrow range and low likelihood of significant deviation, as no major tropical disturbance or anomalous steering pattern is indicated in the latest runs. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by PAGASA or equivalent monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,057结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETForecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to daytime highs of 30–32°C in Manila on September 15 amid typical early-monsoon conditions of high humidity near 80%, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds. These factors limit extreme heating while allowing brief warmer spells under partial cloud cover, aligning with the historical September average maximum near 31°C. Trader positioning favoring 32–33°C reflects this narrow range and low likelihood of significant deviation, as no major tropical disturbance or anomalous steering pattern is indicated in the latest runs. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by PAGASA or equivalent monitoring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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