Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others indicate a highest temperature for Hong Kong on September 14 most likely in the 30–32°C range, consistent with September climatology near 31°C. Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant driver, advecting slightly cooler, drier air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds and moisture levels, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Official resolution will rely on Hong Kong Observatory station data, with traders weighing recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against the baseline risk of clearer skies allowing a brief push toward 32°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日香港气温最高？
9月14日香港气温最高？
31°C 39%
32°C 32%
30°C 18%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
39%
32°C
32%
33°C
7%
34℃
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 32%
30°C 18%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
$323 交易量
<1%
27℃
$203 交易量
<1%
28°C
$261 交易量
2%
29°C
$291 交易量
8%
30°C
$809 交易量
18%
31°C
$142 交易量
39%
32°C
$970 交易量
32%
33°C
$198 交易量
7%
34℃
$382 交易量
2%
35°C
$132 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$257 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others indicate a highest temperature for Hong Kong on September 14 most likely in the 30–32°C range, consistent with September climatology near 31°C. Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant driver, advecting slightly cooler, drier air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds and moisture levels, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Official resolution will rely on Hong Kong Observatory station data, with traders weighing recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against the baseline risk of clearer skies allowing a brief push toward 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,968结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others indicate a highest temperature for Hong Kong on September 14 most likely in the 30–32°C range, consistent with September climatology near 31°C. Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant driver, advecting slightly cooler, drier air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds and moisture levels, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Official resolution will rely on Hong Kong Observatory station data, with traders weighing recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against the baseline risk of clearer skies allowing a brief push toward 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,968结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others indicate a highest temperature for Hong Kong on September 14 most likely in the 30–32°C range, consistent with September climatology near 31°C. Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant driver, advecting slightly cooler, drier air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds and moisture levels, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Official resolution will rely on Hong Kong Observatory station data, with traders weighing recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against the baseline risk of clearer skies allowing a brief push toward 32°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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