Trader consensus heavily favors a daily high of 68–69°F in San Francisco on September 12, driven by official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service showing partly cloudy skies transitioning to sunny with strong westerly winds of 15–25 mph that reinforce the marine layer and limit warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological pattern of moderate September highs averaging near 71°F, tempered by Pacific Ocean influence and typical fog or stratus burn-off. Recent model runs and morning observations around 59°F support limited afternoon rise, with low precipitation risk and no anomalous heat advection expected to push readings into the low 70s or higher. Updated NWS briefings and hourly data through the afternoon will provide the final verification for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日旧金山气温最高？
9月12日旧金山气温最高？
68-69华氏度 48%
70-71华氏度 38%
66-67°F 6%
72-73°F 6%
$10,991 交易量
$10,991 交易量
2026-09-12
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69华氏度
48%
70-71华氏度
38%
72-73°F
6%
74-75华氏度
2%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F或更高
<1%
68-69华氏度 48%
70-71华氏度 38%
66-67°F 6%
72-73°F 6%
$10,991 交易量
$10,991 交易量
2026-09-12
59°F或以下
$353 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$227 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$216 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$423 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$615 交易量
6%
68-69华氏度
$2,962 交易量
48%
70-71华氏度
$1,261 交易量
38%
72-73°F
$1,269 交易量
6%
74-75华氏度
$364 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$806 交易量
<1%
78°F或更高
$2,494 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a daily high of 68–69°F in San Francisco on September 12, driven by official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service showing partly cloudy skies transitioning to sunny with strong westerly winds of 15–25 mph that reinforce the marine layer and limit warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological pattern of moderate September highs averaging near 71°F, tempered by Pacific Ocean influence and typical fog or stratus burn-off. Recent model runs and morning observations around 59°F support limited afternoon rise, with low precipitation risk and no anomalous heat advection expected to push readings into the low 70s or higher. Updated NWS briefings and hourly data through the afternoon will provide the final verification for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,991结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a daily high of 68–69°F in San Francisco on September 12, driven by official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service showing partly cloudy skies transitioning to sunny with strong westerly winds of 15–25 mph that reinforce the marine layer and limit warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological pattern of moderate September highs averaging near 71°F, tempered by Pacific Ocean influence and typical fog or stratus burn-off. Recent model runs and morning observations around 59°F support limited afternoon rise, with low precipitation risk and no anomalous heat advection expected to push readings into the low 70s or higher. Updated NWS briefings and hourly data through the afternoon will provide the final verification for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,991结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ETTrader consensus heavily favors a daily high of 68–69°F in San Francisco on September 12, driven by official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service showing partly cloudy skies transitioning to sunny with strong westerly winds of 15–25 mph that reinforce the marine layer and limit warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological pattern of moderate September highs averaging near 71°F, tempered by Pacific Ocean influence and typical fog or stratus burn-off. Recent model runs and morning observations around 59°F support limited afternoon rise, with low precipitation risk and no anomalous heat advection expected to push readings into the low 70s or higher. Updated NWS briefings and hourly data through the afternoon will provide the final verification for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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