**Trader consensus on 31°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13, 2026, reflects consistent forecast guidance from regional models showing a daytime maximum near this level under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** Mid-September climatology for the subtropical region typically features highs of 30–32°C, and current observations plus ensemble runs align closely with this baseline without signals for significant deviation. High humidity and easterly flow support modest convective activity that limits extreme heating while preventing rapid cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability accounts for the narrow uncertainty range in official monitoring data from the Hong Kong Observatory. Only a substantial, unforecasted shift in steering patterns or prolonged clear skies could push readings outside the 30–32°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日香港气温最高？
9月13日香港气温最高？
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
28°C <1%
$103,776 交易量
$103,776 交易量
2026-09-13
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
28°C <1%
$103,776 交易量
$103,776 交易量
2026-09-13
25°C或以下
$678 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,505 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,113 交易量
<1%
28°C
$17,369 交易量
<1%
29°C
$11,852 交易量
<1%
30°C
$11,780 交易量
<1%
31°C
$18,681 交易量
100%
32°C
$24,084 交易量
1%
33°C
$9,045 交易量
1%
34°C
$2,516 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$153 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on 31°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13, 2026, reflects consistent forecast guidance from regional models showing a daytime maximum near this level under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** Mid-September climatology for the subtropical region typically features highs of 30–32°C, and current observations plus ensemble runs align closely with this baseline without signals for significant deviation. High humidity and easterly flow support modest convective activity that limits extreme heating while preventing rapid cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability accounts for the narrow uncertainty range in official monitoring data from the Hong Kong Observatory. Only a substantial, unforecasted shift in steering patterns or prolonged clear skies could push readings outside the 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$103,776结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on 31°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13, 2026, reflects consistent forecast guidance from regional models showing a daytime maximum near this level under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** Mid-September climatology for the subtropical region typically features highs of 30–32°C, and current observations plus ensemble runs align closely with this baseline without signals for significant deviation. High humidity and easterly flow support modest convective activity that limits extreme heating while preventing rapid cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability accounts for the narrow uncertainty range in official monitoring data from the Hong Kong Observatory. Only a substantial, unforecasted shift in steering patterns or prolonged clear skies could push readings outside the 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$103,776结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus on 31°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13, 2026, reflects consistent forecast guidance from regional models showing a daytime maximum near this level under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** Mid-September climatology for the subtropical region typically features highs of 30–32°C, and current observations plus ensemble runs align closely with this baseline without signals for significant deviation. High humidity and easterly flow support modest convective activity that limits extreme heating while preventing rapid cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability accounts for the narrow uncertainty range in official monitoring data from the Hong Kong Observatory. Only a substantial, unforecasted shift in steering patterns or prolonged clear skies could push readings outside the 30–32°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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