Traders see the 37–38°C outcomes as near coin-flip propositions because the latest GFS and ensemble runs converge on a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Karachi on September 13, driven by mostly sunny skies, westerly flow near 10–15 km/h, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C that limit extreme heat buildup. Model spread and local urban heat-island effects create realistic paths to either 36 °C or 39 °C, keeping those probabilities within a few points of the leaders, while the historical September baseline near 32–34 °C underscores how current synoptic conditions have elevated the expected peak. Updated model guidance and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow morning will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日卡拉奇的最高温度？
9月13日卡拉奇的最高温度？
38°C 31%
37°C 30%
39°C 20%
36°C 12%
最新
$10,842 交易量
最新
$10,842 交易量
2026-09-13
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
12%
37°C
30%
38°C
31%
39°C
20%
40°C
5%
41°C或更高
2%
38°C 31%
37°C 30%
39°C 20%
36°C 12%
最新
$10,842 交易量
最新
$10,842 交易量
2026-09-13
31°C或以下
$1,088 交易量
1%
32°C
$440 交易量
<1%
33°C
$761 交易量
1%
34°C
$648 交易量
1%
35°C
$371 交易量
4%
36°C
$724 交易量
12%
37°C
$2,654 交易量
30%
38°C
$1,323 交易量
31%
39°C
$1,010 交易量
20%
40°C
$1,107 交易量
5%
41°C或更高
$716 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 37–38°C outcomes as near coin-flip propositions because the latest GFS and ensemble runs converge on a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Karachi on September 13, driven by mostly sunny skies, westerly flow near 10–15 km/h, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C that limit extreme heat buildup. Model spread and local urban heat-island effects create realistic paths to either 36 °C or 39 °C, keeping those probabilities within a few points of the leaders, while the historical September baseline near 32–34 °C underscores how current synoptic conditions have elevated the expected peak. Updated model guidance and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow morning will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$10,842结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 37–38°C outcomes as near coin-flip propositions because the latest GFS and ensemble runs converge on a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Karachi on September 13, driven by mostly sunny skies, westerly flow near 10–15 km/h, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C that limit extreme heat buildup. Model spread and local urban heat-island effects create realistic paths to either 36 °C or 39 °C, keeping those probabilities within a few points of the leaders, while the historical September baseline near 32–34 °C underscores how current synoptic conditions have elevated the expected peak. Updated model guidance and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow morning will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,842结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTraders see the 37–38°C outcomes as near coin-flip propositions because the latest GFS and ensemble runs converge on a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Karachi on September 13, driven by mostly sunny skies, westerly flow near 10–15 km/h, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C that limit extreme heat buildup. Model spread and local urban heat-island effects create realistic paths to either 36 °C or 39 °C, keeping those probabilities within a few points of the leaders, while the historical September baseline near 32–34 °C underscores how current synoptic conditions have elevated the expected peak. Updated model guidance and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow morning will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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