Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and southerly winds from an active weather system are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on September 13, keeping maximum temperatures well below the seasonal September average of 23–26°C. Official forecasts and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on highs of 16–17°C under overcast skies with moderate to heavy precipitation, high humidity above 80%, and limited solar insolation. These conditions align with the market’s strong consensus on 17°C (63.5% implied probability) and 16°C (24%), as traders weigh the latest model runs and on-the-ground reports against historical September extremes that rarely dip this low. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine whether any brief clearing allows a marginal rise toward 18°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
9月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
17°C 63%
16°C 27%
18°C 13%
19°C 3%
$44,870 交易量
$44,870 交易量
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
27%
17°C
63%
18°C
13%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22℃或以上
<1%
17°C 63%
16°C 27%
18°C 13%
19°C 3%
$44,870 交易量
$44,870 交易量
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
$4,787 交易量
<1%
13°C
$4,376 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,592 交易量
<1%
15°C
$21,701 交易量
<1%
16°C
$3,118 交易量
27%
17°C
$1,267 交易量
63%
18°C
$989 交易量
13%
19°C
$1,044 交易量
3%
20°C
$1,329 交易量
2%
21°C
$1,135 交易量
<1%
22℃或以上
$3,532 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and southerly winds from an active weather system are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on September 13, keeping maximum temperatures well below the seasonal September average of 23–26°C. Official forecasts and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on highs of 16–17°C under overcast skies with moderate to heavy precipitation, high humidity above 80%, and limited solar insolation. These conditions align with the market’s strong consensus on 17°C (63.5% implied probability) and 16°C (24%), as traders weigh the latest model runs and on-the-ground reports against historical September extremes that rarely dip this low. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine whether any brief clearing allows a marginal rise toward 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$44,870结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and southerly winds from an active weather system are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on September 13, keeping maximum temperatures well below the seasonal September average of 23–26°C. Official forecasts and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on highs of 16–17°C under overcast skies with moderate to heavy precipitation, high humidity above 80%, and limited solar insolation. These conditions align with the market’s strong consensus on 17°C (63.5% implied probability) and 16°C (24%), as traders weigh the latest model runs and on-the-ground reports against historical September extremes that rarely dip this low. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine whether any brief clearing allows a marginal rise toward 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,870结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and southerly winds from an active weather system are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on September 13, keeping maximum temperatures well below the seasonal September average of 23–26°C. Official forecasts and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on highs of 16–17°C under overcast skies with moderate to heavy precipitation, high humidity above 80%, and limited solar insolation. These conditions align with the market’s strong consensus on 17°C (63.5% implied probability) and 16°C (24%), as traders weigh the latest model runs and on-the-ground reports against historical September extremes that rarely dip this low. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine whether any brief clearing allows a marginal rise toward 18°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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