Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Warsaw near 19–20°C on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with observed conditions on September 12, when afternoon readings reached 18–20°C amid stable high pressure. Model spread remains narrow, with limited upside potential for 21°C or higher given modest insolation and no strong warm advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C (52%) and 21°C (25.5%) reflects this forecast agreement, while the 22% probability on 19°C captures residual downside uncertainty in the final model updates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日华沙的最高温度？
9月13日华沙的最高温度？
20°C 52%
21°C 26%
19°C 22%
18°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
22%
20°C
52%
21°C
26%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 52%
21°C 26%
19°C 22%
18°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
$67 交易量
<1%
15°C
$134 交易量
<1%
16°C
$137 交易量
<1%
17°C
$71 交易量
1%
18°C
$210 交易量
3%
19°C
$944 交易量
22%
20°C
$1,271 交易量
52%
21°C
$1,379 交易量
26%
22°C
$328 交易量
2%
23°C
$139 交易量
1%
24°C或更高
$300 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Warsaw near 19–20°C on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with observed conditions on September 12, when afternoon readings reached 18–20°C amid stable high pressure. Model spread remains narrow, with limited upside potential for 21°C or higher given modest insolation and no strong warm advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C (52%) and 21°C (25.5%) reflects this forecast agreement, while the 22% probability on 19°C captures residual downside uncertainty in the final model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,980结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Warsaw near 19–20°C on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with observed conditions on September 12, when afternoon readings reached 18–20°C amid stable high pressure. Model spread remains narrow, with limited upside potential for 21°C or higher given modest insolation and no strong warm advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C (52%) and 21°C (25.5%) reflects this forecast agreement, while the 22% probability on 19°C captures residual downside uncertainty in the final model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,980结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Warsaw near 19–20°C on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with observed conditions on September 12, when afternoon readings reached 18–20°C amid stable high pressure. Model spread remains narrow, with limited upside potential for 21°C or higher given modest insolation and no strong warm advection. The market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C (52%) and 21°C (25.5%) reflects this forecast agreement, while the 22% probability on 19°C captures residual downside uncertainty in the final model updates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题