Latest National Weather Service and model guidance from the GFS and NAM point to a sunny, stable high-pressure regime over north Texas on September 13, supporting maximum temperatures near 100°F with southerly winds of 5–15 mph and minimal cloud cover. This keeps the 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins nearly tied at 41% and 38% implied probability, as small differences in afternoon mixing depth or dew-point advection can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Subsidence warming and strong September insolation favor readings at or above the 90.3°F climatological normal, while historical extremes above 102°F remain unlikely without a sharper ridge. Traders are watching the final 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any NWS forecast discussion updates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日达拉斯的最高温度？
9月13日达拉斯的最高温度？
100-101°F 43%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 11%
96-97华氏度 6%
最新
$18,187 交易量
最新
$18,187 交易量
2026-09-13
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97华氏度
6%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108°F或更高
1%
100-101°F 43%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 11%
96-97华氏度 6%
最新
$18,187 交易量
最新
$18,187 交易量
2026-09-13
89°F或以下
$103 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$211 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$308 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$565 交易量
1%
96-97华氏度
$1,362 交易量
6%
98-99°F
$7,381 交易量
38%
100-101°F
$4,540 交易量
43%
102-103°F
$1,282 交易量
11%
104-105°F
$1,157 交易量
3%
106-107°F
$605 交易量
1%
108°F或更高
$673 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance from the GFS and NAM point to a sunny, stable high-pressure regime over north Texas on September 13, supporting maximum temperatures near 100°F with southerly winds of 5–15 mph and minimal cloud cover. This keeps the 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins nearly tied at 41% and 38% implied probability, as small differences in afternoon mixing depth or dew-point advection can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Subsidence warming and strong September insolation favor readings at or above the 90.3°F climatological normal, while historical extremes above 102°F remain unlikely without a sharper ridge. Traders are watching the final 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any NWS forecast discussion updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$18,187结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance from the GFS and NAM point to a sunny, stable high-pressure regime over north Texas on September 13, supporting maximum temperatures near 100°F with southerly winds of 5–15 mph and minimal cloud cover. This keeps the 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins nearly tied at 41% and 38% implied probability, as small differences in afternoon mixing depth or dew-point advection can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Subsidence warming and strong September insolation favor readings at or above the 90.3°F climatological normal, while historical extremes above 102°F remain unlikely without a sharper ridge. Traders are watching the final 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any NWS forecast discussion updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,187结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance from the GFS and NAM point to a sunny, stable high-pressure regime over north Texas on September 13, supporting maximum temperatures near 100°F with southerly winds of 5–15 mph and minimal cloud cover. This keeps the 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins nearly tied at 41% and 38% implied probability, as small differences in afternoon mixing depth or dew-point advection can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Subsidence warming and strong September insolation favor readings at or above the 90.3°F climatological normal, while historical extremes above 102°F remain unlikely without a sharper ridge. Traders are watching the final 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any NWS forecast discussion updates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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