Official forecasts from NOAA and local meteorological services project a high of 100-101°F for Dallas on September 12, 2026, under sunny skies, light southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and elevated humidity producing heat indices near 107°F. This aligns with the market's dominant 70.5% implied probability for that bin, well above the 1991-2020 average high of 90.6°F for the date. Stable model consensus and absence of cloud cover or precipitation through the afternoon support limited upside risk beyond 102°F or downside below 99°F. Real-time observations from stations such as Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日达拉斯的最高温度?
100-101华氏度 72%
98-99华氏度 15%
102-103°F 11%
104-105°F 4%
$26,407 交易量
$26,407 交易量
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99华氏度
15%
100-101华氏度
72%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
100-101华氏度 72%
98-99华氏度 15%
102-103°F 11%
104-105°F 4%
$26,407 交易量
$26,407 交易量
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99华氏度
15%
100-101华氏度
72%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from NOAA and local meteorological services project a high of 100-101°F for Dallas on September 12, 2026, under sunny skies, light southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and elevated humidity producing heat indices near 107°F. This aligns with the market's dominant 70.5% implied probability for that bin, well above the 1991-2020 average high of 90.6°F for the date. Stable model consensus and absence of cloud cover or precipitation through the afternoon support limited upside risk beyond 102°F or downside below 99°F. Real-time observations from stations such as Dallas Love Field or DFW Airport will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题