Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports project a Saturday high of 77–80°F under mostly sunny skies with light easterly to southerly winds, following a modest cool-down from upper-80s readings on September 10. This places the most likely outcome near the September climatological average of 77.7°F while limiting upside potential from stronger warm advection. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns and limited moisture return, keeping probabilities of exceeding 82°F low. Traders have therefore concentrated implied odds on the 76–81°F bins, reflecting the narrow forecast range and the high-resolution guidance expected in final updates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日纽约市最高气温？
9月12日纽约市最高气温？
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 25%
82-83°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71华氏度
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
15%
84-85华氏度
9%
86-87°F
3%
88华氏度或更高
2%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 25%
82-83°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
69°F或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
70-71华氏度
$0 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
8%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$176 交易量
25%
78-79°F
$49 交易量
37%
80-81°F
$13 交易量
27%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
15%
84-85华氏度
$0 交易量
9%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
3%
88华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports project a Saturday high of 77–80°F under mostly sunny skies with light easterly to southerly winds, following a modest cool-down from upper-80s readings on September 10. This places the most likely outcome near the September climatological average of 77.7°F while limiting upside potential from stronger warm advection. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns and limited moisture return, keeping probabilities of exceeding 82°F low. Traders have therefore concentrated implied odds on the 76–81°F bins, reflecting the narrow forecast range and the high-resolution guidance expected in final updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$238结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports project a Saturday high of 77–80°F under mostly sunny skies with light easterly to southerly winds, following a modest cool-down from upper-80s readings on September 10. This places the most likely outcome near the September climatological average of 77.7°F while limiting upside potential from stronger warm advection. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns and limited moisture return, keeping probabilities of exceeding 82°F low. Traders have therefore concentrated implied odds on the 76–81°F bins, reflecting the narrow forecast range and the high-resolution guidance expected in final updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$238结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports project a Saturday high of 77–80°F under mostly sunny skies with light easterly to southerly winds, following a modest cool-down from upper-80s readings on September 10. This places the most likely outcome near the September climatological average of 77.7°F while limiting upside potential from stronger warm advection. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns and limited moisture return, keeping probabilities of exceeding 82°F low. Traders have therefore concentrated implied odds on the 76–81°F bins, reflecting the narrow forecast range and the high-resolution guidance expected in final updates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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