Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit on September 12, driven by northerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor radiational cooling after a mild daytime high near 80°F. This setup supports the market's tight clustering around 62–67°F bins, where small differences in predicted dew points, wind speeds, or residual cloud cover can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 63°F provide context, yet the current pattern's departure from warmer baselines reflects the primary catalyst behind trader consensus. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 11 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日纽约市最低气温？
9月12日纽约市最低气温？
64-65°F 33%
68-69华氏度 29%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
57华氏度或更低
2%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
27%
68-69华氏度
29%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
5%
76°F或更高
2%
64-65°F 33%
68-69华氏度 29%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
57华氏度或更低
$0 交易量
2%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
2%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
4%
62-63°F
$9 交易量
17%
64-65°F
$600 交易量
33%
66-67°F
$467 交易量
27%
68-69华氏度
$0 交易量
29%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
19%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
17%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
5%
76°F或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit on September 12, driven by northerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor radiational cooling after a mild daytime high near 80°F. This setup supports the market's tight clustering around 62–67°F bins, where small differences in predicted dew points, wind speeds, or residual cloud cover can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 63°F provide context, yet the current pattern's departure from warmer baselines reflects the primary catalyst behind trader consensus. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 11 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,076结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit on September 12, driven by northerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor radiational cooling after a mild daytime high near 80°F. This setup supports the market's tight clustering around 62–67°F bins, where small differences in predicted dew points, wind speeds, or residual cloud cover can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 63°F provide context, yet the current pattern's departure from warmer baselines reflects the primary catalyst behind trader consensus. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 11 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,076结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit on September 12, driven by northerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor radiational cooling after a mild daytime high near 80°F. This setup supports the market's tight clustering around 62–67°F bins, where small differences in predicted dew points, wind speeds, or residual cloud cover can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 63°F provide context, yet the current pattern's departure from warmer baselines reflects the primary catalyst behind trader consensus. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through September 11 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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