Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional meteorological centers show consensus on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai for September 10, driven by persistent northerly flow, scattered light rain, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (47%) and 29°C (28.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and historical September baselines near 29°C. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from overnight boundary-layer changes or localized convective cells, but the short time horizon and stable steering pattern reduce upside risk for 30°C or higher outcomes. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified peak reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日上海气温最高？
9月10日上海气温最高？
28°C 47%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 5%
最新
$28,523 交易量
最新
$28,523 交易量
2026-09-10
25℃及以下
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
21%
28°C
47%
29°C
29%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
28°C 47%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 5%
最新
$28,523 交易量
最新
$28,523 交易量
2026-09-10
25℃及以下
$532 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,438 交易量
3%
27°C
$8,470 交易量
21%
28°C
$3,833 交易量
47%
29°C
$7,340 交易量
29%
30°C
$2,535 交易量
5%
31°C
$605 交易量
1%
32°C
$623 交易量
<1%
33°C
$290 交易量
<1%
34°C
$857 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$1,000 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional meteorological centers show consensus on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai for September 10, driven by persistent northerly flow, scattered light rain, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (47%) and 29°C (28.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and historical September baselines near 29°C. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from overnight boundary-layer changes or localized convective cells, but the short time horizon and stable steering pattern reduce upside risk for 30°C or higher outcomes. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$28,523结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional meteorological centers show consensus on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai for September 10, driven by persistent northerly flow, scattered light rain, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (47%) and 29°C (28.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and historical September baselines near 29°C. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from overnight boundary-layer changes or localized convective cells, but the short time horizon and stable steering pattern reduce upside risk for 30°C or higher outcomes. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,523结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from regional meteorological centers show consensus on a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shanghai for September 10, driven by persistent northerly flow, scattered light rain, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (47%) and 29°C (28.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and historical September baselines near 29°C. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from overnight boundary-layer changes or localized convective cells, but the short time horizon and stable steering pattern reduce upside risk for 30°C or higher outcomes. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the verified peak reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题