Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus from official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models projecting a daily maximum near 33°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 9 amid typical equatorial haze, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. September climatology shows average highs of 31–34°C with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight, while current conditions including jerebu and 80% thunderstorm chances align with ensemble outputs clustering tightly around this threshold. Traders assign near-certainty to 33°C because deviations would require atypical factors such as prolonged heavy rain suppressing temperatures or unusually clear skies enhancing insolation. Final resolution depends on verified observations from primary stations, with minor model spread or microscale variability representing the main realistic uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日吉隆坡气温最高?
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$37,507 交易量
$37,507 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$37,507 交易量
$37,507 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus from official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models projecting a daily maximum near 33°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 9 amid typical equatorial haze, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. September climatology shows average highs of 31–34°C with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight, while current conditions including jerebu and 80% thunderstorm chances align with ensemble outputs clustering tightly around this threshold. Traders assign near-certainty to 33°C because deviations would require atypical factors such as prolonged heavy rain suppressing temperatures or unusually clear skies enhancing insolation. Final resolution depends on verified observations from primary stations, with minor model spread or microscale variability representing the main realistic uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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