Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall are driving trader consensus toward a 22–23°C high in Chengdu on September 10, with official Chinese meteorological guidance projecting a sharp 10–11°C drop from prior days amid northerly winds of 4–6 levels and persistent cloud cover. Model runs and agency briefings center daily maxima in the low 20s Celsius, reflecting the timing of showers that limit afternoon warming, while historical September baselines for the region show greater variability under similar frontal passages. Minor spreads in outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall cessation and local microclimate effects, with updated forecasts from monitoring agencies expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日成都气温最高？
9月10日成都气温最高？
22°C 30%
23°C 23%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
18℃或以下
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
15%
22°C
30%
23°C
23%
24°C
14%
25°C
11%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C或更高
<1%
22°C 30%
23°C 23%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
18℃或以下
$50 交易量
3%
19°C
$7 交易量
5%
20°C
$1 交易量
9%
21°C
$12 交易量
15%
22°C
$27 交易量
30%
23°C
$0 交易量
23%
24°C
$13 交易量
14%
25°C
$20 交易量
11%
26°C
$0 交易量
9%
27°C
$30 交易量
3%
28°C或更高
$200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall are driving trader consensus toward a 22–23°C high in Chengdu on September 10, with official Chinese meteorological guidance projecting a sharp 10–11°C drop from prior days amid northerly winds of 4–6 levels and persistent cloud cover. Model runs and agency briefings center daily maxima in the low 20s Celsius, reflecting the timing of showers that limit afternoon warming, while historical September baselines for the region show greater variability under similar frontal passages. Minor spreads in outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall cessation and local microclimate effects, with updated forecasts from monitoring agencies expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$360结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall are driving trader consensus toward a 22–23°C high in Chengdu on September 10, with official Chinese meteorological guidance projecting a sharp 10–11°C drop from prior days amid northerly winds of 4–6 levels and persistent cloud cover. Model runs and agency briefings center daily maxima in the low 20s Celsius, reflecting the timing of showers that limit afternoon warming, while historical September baselines for the region show greater variability under similar frontal passages. Minor spreads in outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall cessation and local microclimate effects, with updated forecasts from monitoring agencies expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$360结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall are driving trader consensus toward a 22–23°C high in Chengdu on September 10, with official Chinese meteorological guidance projecting a sharp 10–11°C drop from prior days amid northerly winds of 4–6 levels and persistent cloud cover. Model runs and agency briefings center daily maxima in the low 20s Celsius, reflecting the timing of showers that limit afternoon warming, while historical September baselines for the region show greater variability under similar frontal passages. Minor spreads in outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall cessation and local microclimate effects, with updated forecasts from monitoring agencies expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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