Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 30°C in Chengdu on September 8, driven by a shift from recent heat (34–36°C highs earlier in the week) to increased cloud cover and scattered showers as a frontal system arrives. Precipitation and higher humidity will reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum compared with clearer conditions. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–31°C because small variations in rain timing, intensity, or model spread—such as differences in the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs—can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average 26–28°C, underscoring how this transitional pattern favors the lower end of recent warmth. Updated guidance on September 7 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日成都气温最高？
9月8日成都气温最高？
30°C 24%
29°C 23%
31°C 14%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
26°C或以下
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
23%
30°C
24%
31°C
14%
32°C
14%
33°C
9%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C或更高
1%
30°C 24%
29°C 23%
31°C 14%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
27°C
$0 交易量
5%
28°C
$54 交易量
16%
29°C
$101 交易量
23%
30°C
$10 交易量
24%
31°C
$13 交易量
14%
32°C
$220 交易量
14%
33°C
$9 交易量
9%
34°C
$23 交易量
6%
35°C
$0 交易量
3%
36°C或更高
$115 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 30°C in Chengdu on September 8, driven by a shift from recent heat (34–36°C highs earlier in the week) to increased cloud cover and scattered showers as a frontal system arrives. Precipitation and higher humidity will reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum compared with clearer conditions. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–31°C because small variations in rain timing, intensity, or model spread—such as differences in the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs—can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average 26–28°C, underscoring how this transitional pattern favors the lower end of recent warmth. Updated guidance on September 7 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$533结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 30°C in Chengdu on September 8, driven by a shift from recent heat (34–36°C highs earlier in the week) to increased cloud cover and scattered showers as a frontal system arrives. Precipitation and higher humidity will reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum compared with clearer conditions. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–31°C because small variations in rain timing, intensity, or model spread—such as differences in the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs—can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average 26–28°C, underscoring how this transitional pattern favors the lower end of recent warmth. Updated guidance on September 7 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$533结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 30°C in Chengdu on September 8, driven by a shift from recent heat (34–36°C highs earlier in the week) to increased cloud cover and scattered showers as a frontal system arrives. Precipitation and higher humidity will reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum compared with clearer conditions. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–31°C because small variations in rain timing, intensity, or model spread—such as differences in the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs—can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average 26–28°C, underscoring how this transitional pattern favors the lower end of recent warmth. Updated guidance on September 7 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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