The closely matched probabilities across 58–69°F ranges reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chicago’s overnight low on September 8, as numerical weather models diverge on the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. Current GFS and ECMWF runs show varying solutions for surface high pressure and northerly flow, with potential for clearer skies and radiational cooling versus increased cloud cover that would moderate temperatures. Early September climatology places average lows near 60°F, but 2026 conditions feature above-normal warmth ahead of the front, keeping higher bins viable if advection persists. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and National Weather Service updates for refined guidance on dew points and wind speeds, which directly influence minimum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日芝加哥最低气温？
9月8日芝加哥最低气温？
66-67°F 50%
60-61华氏度 48%
62-63°F 48%
68-69°F 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
57华氏度或以下
18%
58-59°F
26%
60-61华氏度
48%
62-63°F
48%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
50%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
8%
76°F或更高
4%
66-67°F 50%
60-61华氏度 48%
62-63°F 48%
68-69°F 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
57华氏度或以下
$112 交易量
18%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
26%
60-61华氏度
$0 交易量
48%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
48%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
27%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
50%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
48%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
48%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
20%
74-75°F
$12 交易量
8%
76°F或更高
$12 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities across 58–69°F ranges reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chicago’s overnight low on September 8, as numerical weather models diverge on the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. Current GFS and ECMWF runs show varying solutions for surface high pressure and northerly flow, with potential for clearer skies and radiational cooling versus increased cloud cover that would moderate temperatures. Early September climatology places average lows near 60°F, but 2026 conditions feature above-normal warmth ahead of the front, keeping higher bins viable if advection persists. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and National Weather Service updates for refined guidance on dew points and wind speeds, which directly influence minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$136结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities across 58–69°F ranges reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chicago’s overnight low on September 8, as numerical weather models diverge on the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. Current GFS and ECMWF runs show varying solutions for surface high pressure and northerly flow, with potential for clearer skies and radiational cooling versus increased cloud cover that would moderate temperatures. Early September climatology places average lows near 60°F, but 2026 conditions feature above-normal warmth ahead of the front, keeping higher bins viable if advection persists. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and National Weather Service updates for refined guidance on dew points and wind speeds, which directly influence minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$136结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThe closely matched probabilities across 58–69°F ranges reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chicago’s overnight low on September 8, as numerical weather models diverge on the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. Current GFS and ECMWF runs show varying solutions for surface high pressure and northerly flow, with potential for clearer skies and radiational cooling versus increased cloud cover that would moderate temperatures. Early September climatology places average lows near 60°F, but 2026 conditions feature above-normal warmth ahead of the front, keeping higher bins viable if advection persists. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and National Weather Service updates for refined guidance on dew points and wind speeds, which directly influence minimum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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