Current forecasts from multiple models for Incheon and Seoul on September 6 point to mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s and highs near 28–29°C, supported by persistent high pressure and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. Trader emphasis on 30°C as the leading outcome at 35% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model runs regarding peak insolation and any subtle shifts in steering flow, while lower probabilities for 28°C or below align with consensus guidance showing modest cooling from recent 29–30°C readings on September 4. Historical September baselines average 25–26°C highs, but the current stable, dry pattern favors values at the upper end of the distribution pending the next model update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
9月6日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
29°C 35%
30°C 35%
27°C 18%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
15%
29°C
27%
30°C
35%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C或以上
3%
29°C 35%
30°C 35%
27°C 18%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
18%
28°C
$14 交易量
15%
29°C
$143 交易量
27%
30°C
$45 交易量
35%
31°C
$20 交易量
10%
32°C
$4 交易量
7%
33°C或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models for Incheon and Seoul on September 6 point to mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s and highs near 28–29°C, supported by persistent high pressure and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. Trader emphasis on 30°C as the leading outcome at 35% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model runs regarding peak insolation and any subtle shifts in steering flow, while lower probabilities for 28°C or below align with consensus guidance showing modest cooling from recent 29–30°C readings on September 4. Historical September baselines average 25–26°C highs, but the current stable, dry pattern favors values at the upper end of the distribution pending the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$201结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models for Incheon and Seoul on September 6 point to mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s and highs near 28–29°C, supported by persistent high pressure and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. Trader emphasis on 30°C as the leading outcome at 35% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model runs regarding peak insolation and any subtle shifts in steering flow, while lower probabilities for 28°C or below align with consensus guidance showing modest cooling from recent 29–30°C readings on September 4. Historical September baselines average 25–26°C highs, but the current stable, dry pattern favors values at the upper end of the distribution pending the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$201结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models for Incheon and Seoul on September 6 point to mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s and highs near 28–29°C, supported by persistent high pressure and clear skies that enhance daytime heating. Trader emphasis on 30°C as the leading outcome at 35% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model runs regarding peak insolation and any subtle shifts in steering flow, while lower probabilities for 28°C or below align with consensus guidance showing modest cooling from recent 29–30°C readings on September 4. Historical September baselines average 25–26°C highs, but the current stable, dry pattern favors values at the upper end of the distribution pending the next model update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题