Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall expected across Taipei on September 4 are the dominant factors capping daytime heating and keeping the daily maximum near 27–29 °C according to the latest model consensus. A broad trough and associated moisture surge have increased precipitation probabilities to near 100 % with reduced insolation, lowering the thermal maximum relative to early-September climatology of ~30 °C. Minor forecast spread among guidance runs—driven by timing of heaviest showers and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 30 °C and 32 °C, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a rapid clearing trend. Updated NHC/NOAA or Central Weather Bureau guidance on steering flow and convective timing will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日台北气温最高？
9月4日台北气温最高？
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
29°C 18%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
18%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C或以上
3%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
29°C 18%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$120 交易量
7%
28°C
$0 交易量
10%
29°C
$0 交易量
18%
30°C
$13 交易量
28%
31°C
$32 交易量
35%
32°C
$22 交易量
14%
33°C
$10 交易量
4%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall expected across Taipei on September 4 are the dominant factors capping daytime heating and keeping the daily maximum near 27–29 °C according to the latest model consensus. A broad trough and associated moisture surge have increased precipitation probabilities to near 100 % with reduced insolation, lowering the thermal maximum relative to early-September climatology of ~30 °C. Minor forecast spread among guidance runs—driven by timing of heaviest showers and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 30 °C and 32 °C, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a rapid clearing trend. Updated NHC/NOAA or Central Weather Bureau guidance on steering flow and convective timing will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$198结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall expected across Taipei on September 4 are the dominant factors capping daytime heating and keeping the daily maximum near 27–29 °C according to the latest model consensus. A broad trough and associated moisture surge have increased precipitation probabilities to near 100 % with reduced insolation, lowering the thermal maximum relative to early-September climatology of ~30 °C. Minor forecast spread among guidance runs—driven by timing of heaviest showers and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 30 °C and 32 °C, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a rapid clearing trend. Updated NHC/NOAA or Central Weather Bureau guidance on steering flow and convective timing will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$198结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall expected across Taipei on September 4 are the dominant factors capping daytime heating and keeping the daily maximum near 27–29 °C according to the latest model consensus. A broad trough and associated moisture surge have increased precipitation probabilities to near 100 % with reduced insolation, lowering the thermal maximum relative to early-September climatology of ~30 °C. Minor forecast spread among guidance runs—driven by timing of heaviest showers and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 30 °C and 32 °C, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a rapid clearing trend. Updated NHC/NOAA or Central Weather Bureau guidance on steering flow and convective timing will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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