Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in Houston on September 4 around 77–80°F amid a warm, humid pattern with southeasterly flow and afternoon thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling through elevated dew points and potential cloud cover, keeping minimum temperatures well above the September climatological average of ~75°F. Trader sentiment remains split across extremes because short-range model runs can still shift with evolving steering patterns or timing of any clearing skies, while mid-range bins like 78–79°F align closely with consensus guidance. Upcoming NWS updates and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日休斯顿最低温度?
69华氏度或以下 69%
88华氏度或更高 69%
72-73华氏度 50%
74-75°F 50%
69华氏度或以下
69%
70-71°F
20%
72-73华氏度
50%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
50%
86-87°F
20%
88华氏度或更高
69%
69华氏度或以下 69%
88华氏度或更高 69%
72-73华氏度 50%
74-75°F 50%
69华氏度或以下
69%
70-71°F
20%
72-73华氏度
50%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
50%
86-87°F
20%
88华氏度或更高
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in Houston on September 4 around 77–80°F amid a warm, humid pattern with southeasterly flow and afternoon thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling through elevated dew points and potential cloud cover, keeping minimum temperatures well above the September climatological average of ~75°F. Trader sentiment remains split across extremes because short-range model runs can still shift with evolving steering patterns or timing of any clearing skies, while mid-range bins like 78–79°F align closely with consensus guidance. Upcoming NWS updates and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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