Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF-influenced models and regional guidance indicate a mostly cloudy September 2 over Amsterdam under moderate westerly flow, with daytime maxima centered near 20–22 °C and limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover and light winds. These conditions align with early-September climatology for the region, where Atlantic air masses typically suppress extreme warmth or cooling absent strong ridging or cold advection. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 21 °C reflects trader incorporation of the latest model consensus showing only modest spread in high-temperature outcomes, while lower odds for 23 °C or above acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming before the next frontal passage. Updated runs expected in the coming 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月2日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
21°C 48%
22°C 21%
20°C 15%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
15%
21°C
48%
22°C
21%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 48%
22°C 21%
20°C 15%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
17°C
$105 交易量
<1%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
7%
20°C
$13 交易量
15%
21°C
$43 交易量
48%
22°C
$0 交易量
21%
23°C
$0 交易量
5%
24°C
$5 交易量
7%
25°C
$34 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$121 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF-influenced models and regional guidance indicate a mostly cloudy September 2 over Amsterdam under moderate westerly flow, with daytime maxima centered near 20–22 °C and limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover and light winds. These conditions align with early-September climatology for the region, where Atlantic air masses typically suppress extreme warmth or cooling absent strong ridging or cold advection. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 21 °C reflects trader incorporation of the latest model consensus showing only modest spread in high-temperature outcomes, while lower odds for 23 °C or above acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming before the next frontal passage. Updated runs expected in the coming 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$321结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF-influenced models and regional guidance indicate a mostly cloudy September 2 over Amsterdam under moderate westerly flow, with daytime maxima centered near 20–22 °C and limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover and light winds. These conditions align with early-September climatology for the region, where Atlantic air masses typically suppress extreme warmth or cooling absent strong ridging or cold advection. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 21 °C reflects trader incorporation of the latest model consensus showing only modest spread in high-temperature outcomes, while lower odds for 23 °C or above acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming before the next frontal passage. Updated runs expected in the coming 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$321结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF-influenced models and regional guidance indicate a mostly cloudy September 2 over Amsterdam under moderate westerly flow, with daytime maxima centered near 20–22 °C and limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover and light winds. These conditions align with early-September climatology for the region, where Atlantic air masses typically suppress extreme warmth or cooling absent strong ridging or cold advection. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 21 °C reflects trader incorporation of the latest model consensus showing only modest spread in high-temperature outcomes, while lower odds for 23 °C or above acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming before the next frontal passage. Updated runs expected in the coming 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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