Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and widespread cloud cover with periods of light to moderate rain on August 31, driven by peripheral effects from regional typhoon activity following the end of the prolonged heat wave. Multiple models converge on daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with some runs showing brief afternoon peaks to 33 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation, while heavier showers could cap readings at 29–30 °C. This narrow spread, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around 30–33 °C, stems from typical late-summer variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing that official agencies update daily.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日武汉气温最高?
32°C 26%
33°C 20%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
14%
31°C
20%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 26%
33°C 20%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
14%
31°C
20%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and widespread cloud cover with periods of light to moderate rain on August 31, driven by peripheral effects from regional typhoon activity following the end of the prolonged heat wave. Multiple models converge on daytime maxima near 30–32 °C, with some runs showing brief afternoon peaks to 33 °C if breaks in cloud allow greater insolation, while heavier showers could cap readings at 29–30 °C. This narrow spread, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around 30–33 °C, stems from typical late-summer variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing that official agencies update daily.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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