Strong northerly to northwesterly winds are expected to advect milder air into Wellington on August 29, 2026, following the passage of frontal systems, supporting a daytime maximum near or slightly above seasonal norms of 13–14 °C. Multiple official and model forecasts (MetService, WeatherBug, NZ Herald) converge on a high of 13–14 °C under mainly fine conditions with low rain chances after early clearing, though gusty flow may enhance mixing and modest warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 15 °C (70 % implied probability) over 14 °C, reflecting the potential for brief northerly-driven peaks above baseline amid late-winter variability, while lower outcomes remain sidelined by the established wind regime and lack of cold-air intrusion. Updated model runs and MetService briefings on wind strength and timing will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月29日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 70%
14°C 16%
16°C 14%
17°C 2%
最新
$30,400 交易量
最新
$30,400 交易量
2026-08-29
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
16%
15°C
70%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 70%
14°C 16%
16°C 14%
17°C 2%
最新
$30,400 交易量
最新
$30,400 交易量
2026-08-29
9°C or below
$900 交易量
<1%
10°C
$2,860 交易量
<1%
11°C
$345 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,050 交易量
<1%
13°C
$426 交易量
<1%
14°C
$6,808 交易量
16%
15°C
$5,337 交易量
70%
16°C
$4,571 交易量
14%
17°C
$3,916 交易量
2%
18°C
$3,991 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$196 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly to northwesterly winds are expected to advect milder air into Wellington on August 29, 2026, following the passage of frontal systems, supporting a daytime maximum near or slightly above seasonal norms of 13–14 °C. Multiple official and model forecasts (MetService, WeatherBug, NZ Herald) converge on a high of 13–14 °C under mainly fine conditions with low rain chances after early clearing, though gusty flow may enhance mixing and modest warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 15 °C (70 % implied probability) over 14 °C, reflecting the potential for brief northerly-driven peaks above baseline amid late-winter variability, while lower outcomes remain sidelined by the established wind regime and lack of cold-air intrusion. Updated model runs and MetService briefings on wind strength and timing will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$30,400结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly to northwesterly winds are expected to advect milder air into Wellington on August 29, 2026, following the passage of frontal systems, supporting a daytime maximum near or slightly above seasonal norms of 13–14 °C. Multiple official and model forecasts (MetService, WeatherBug, NZ Herald) converge on a high of 13–14 °C under mainly fine conditions with low rain chances after early clearing, though gusty flow may enhance mixing and modest warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 15 °C (70 % implied probability) over 14 °C, reflecting the potential for brief northerly-driven peaks above baseline amid late-winter variability, while lower outcomes remain sidelined by the established wind regime and lack of cold-air intrusion. Updated model runs and MetService briefings on wind strength and timing will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,400结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETStrong northerly to northwesterly winds are expected to advect milder air into Wellington on August 29, 2026, following the passage of frontal systems, supporting a daytime maximum near or slightly above seasonal norms of 13–14 °C. Multiple official and model forecasts (MetService, WeatherBug, NZ Herald) converge on a high of 13–14 °C under mainly fine conditions with low rain chances after early clearing, though gusty flow may enhance mixing and modest warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 15 °C (70 % implied probability) over 14 °C, reflecting the potential for brief northerly-driven peaks above baseline amid late-winter variability, while lower outcomes remain sidelined by the established wind regime and lack of cold-air intrusion. Updated model runs and MetService briefings on wind strength and timing will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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