Northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air, combined with mostly clear skies and strong daytime insolation, are the main drivers positioning 17 °C as the market leader for Wellington’s August 30 maximum. Multiple official and model guidance sources, including MetService and international ensembles, consistently forecast a high of 15–16 °C under windy conditions that limit extreme warming yet exceed late-August climatological normals of roughly 13–14 °C. The 63 % implied probability on 17 °C and secondary support for 18 °C reflect trader weighting of these warmer-air advection patterns, while lower outcomes align with greater wind mixing or minor timing shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月30日惠灵顿的最高温度？
17°C 61%
18°C 26%
16°C 13%
15°C 3%
最新
$34,367 交易量
最新
$34,367 交易量
2026-08-30
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
61%
18°C
26%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 61%
18°C 26%
16°C 13%
15°C 3%
最新
$34,367 交易量
最新
$34,367 交易量
2026-08-30
11°C or below
$687 交易量
<1%
12°C
$687 交易量
<1%
13°C
$548 交易量
<1%
14°C
$2,225 交易量
1%
15°C
$3,166 交易量
3%
16°C
$9,884 交易量
13%
17°C
$7,305 交易量
61%
18°C
$5,092 交易量
26%
19°C
$2,478 交易量
2%
20°C
$1,510 交易量
<1%
21°C or higher
$786 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air, combined with mostly clear skies and strong daytime insolation, are the main drivers positioning 17 °C as the market leader for Wellington’s August 30 maximum. Multiple official and model guidance sources, including MetService and international ensembles, consistently forecast a high of 15–16 °C under windy conditions that limit extreme warming yet exceed late-August climatological normals of roughly 13–14 °C. The 63 % implied probability on 17 °C and secondary support for 18 °C reflect trader weighting of these warmer-air advection patterns, while lower outcomes align with greater wind mixing or minor timing shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$34,367结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air, combined with mostly clear skies and strong daytime insolation, are the main drivers positioning 17 °C as the market leader for Wellington’s August 30 maximum. Multiple official and model guidance sources, including MetService and international ensembles, consistently forecast a high of 15–16 °C under windy conditions that limit extreme warming yet exceed late-August climatological normals of roughly 13–14 °C. The 63 % implied probability on 17 °C and secondary support for 18 °C reflect trader weighting of these warmer-air advection patterns, while lower outcomes align with greater wind mixing or minor timing shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,367结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNorthwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air, combined with mostly clear skies and strong daytime insolation, are the main drivers positioning 17 °C as the market leader for Wellington’s August 30 maximum. Multiple official and model guidance sources, including MetService and international ensembles, consistently forecast a high of 15–16 °C under windy conditions that limit extreme warming yet exceed late-August climatological normals of roughly 13–14 °C. The 63 % implied probability on 17 °C and secondary support for 18 °C reflect trader weighting of these warmer-air advection patterns, while lower outcomes align with greater wind mixing or minor timing shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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