Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models indicate a high near 32°C in Shanghai on August 29 under persistent light rain and southeast winds, limiting daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Shanghai’s late-summer subtropical climate typically features highs of 30–34°C, but ongoing monsoon moisture and weak steering flow have suppressed stronger warming. Model consensus centers on 31–32°C, with limited upside potential from brief clearing. This alignment supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C while leaving modest room for 31°C or 33°C depending on final rainfall timing and solar insolation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日上海气温最高?
32°C 61%
31°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
$15,059 交易量
$15,059 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
61%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 61%
31°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
$15,059 交易量
$15,059 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
61%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models indicate a high near 32°C in Shanghai on August 29 under persistent light rain and southeast winds, limiting daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Shanghai’s late-summer subtropical climate typically features highs of 30–34°C, but ongoing monsoon moisture and weak steering flow have suppressed stronger warming. Model consensus centers on 31–32°C, with limited upside potential from brief clearing. This alignment supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C while leaving modest room for 31°C or 33°C depending on final rainfall timing and solar insolation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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