Recent forecasts from MetService, WeatherBug, and international models indicate a highest temperature of 14–16°C for Wellington on August 28, 2026, with 15°C emerging as the mode. Late-winter conditions feature northerly flows ahead of an approaching front, delivering mild Tasman air masses that support daytime maxima near 14°C under increasing cloud and rain. Recent observations show above-average warmth, including a 17.1°C peak on August 25, yet strengthening southerlies and 90% precipitation probability on the 28th are expected to cap heating. Ensemble guidance places the most likely range at 14–15°C, consistent with climatological August highs of 12–14°C and the narrowing uncertainty window two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日惠灵顿的最高温度?
15°C 64%
14°C 19%
16°C 17%
13°C 3%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
19%
15°C
64%
16°C
17%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 64%
14°C 19%
16°C 17%
13°C 3%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
19%
15°C
64%
16°C
17%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from MetService, WeatherBug, and international models indicate a highest temperature of 14–16°C for Wellington on August 28, 2026, with 15°C emerging as the mode. Late-winter conditions feature northerly flows ahead of an approaching front, delivering mild Tasman air masses that support daytime maxima near 14°C under increasing cloud and rain. Recent observations show above-average warmth, including a 17.1°C peak on August 25, yet strengthening southerlies and 90% precipitation probability on the 28th are expected to cap heating. Ensemble guidance places the most likely range at 14–15°C, consistent with climatological August highs of 12–14°C and the narrowing uncertainty window two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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