Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local analyses, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely between 26–27°C. Morning showers or variable cloud cover associated with a weak low-pressure influence and southeasterly flow may limit early heating, while afternoon partial clearing under moderate winds supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (25%), followed by 28°C (22%), as ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Preceding cooler, unsettled conditions on August 25 further anchor expectations near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月26日慕尼黑的最高温度？
27°C 40%
26°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
25%
27°C
40%
28°C
22%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 40%
26°C 25%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C or below
$23 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
<1%
23°C
$50 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$165 交易量
15%
26°C
$55 交易量
25%
27°C
$150 交易量
40%
28°C
$18 交易量
22%
29°C
$0 交易量
3%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local analyses, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely between 26–27°C. Morning showers or variable cloud cover associated with a weak low-pressure influence and southeasterly flow may limit early heating, while afternoon partial clearing under moderate winds supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (25%), followed by 28°C (22%), as ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Preceding cooler, unsettled conditions on August 25 further anchor expectations near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$466结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local analyses, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely between 26–27°C. Morning showers or variable cloud cover associated with a weak low-pressure influence and southeasterly flow may limit early heating, while afternoon partial clearing under moderate winds supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (25%), followed by 28°C (22%), as ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Preceding cooler, unsettled conditions on August 25 further anchor expectations near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$466结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF-influenced models and local analyses, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely between 26–27°C. Morning showers or variable cloud cover associated with a weak low-pressure influence and southeasterly flow may limit early heating, while afternoon partial clearing under moderate winds supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 27°C (39.5%) and 26°C (25%), followed by 28°C (22%), as ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Preceding cooler, unsettled conditions on August 25 further anchor expectations near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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