Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in the strength of an Atlantic ridge and associated cloud cover that could suppress daytime heating by 1–2 °C. With probabilities tightly clustered between 21 °C and 24 °C, traders are weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction that determine whether peak readings reach or fall short of the 23 °C threshold. Historical late-August baselines for the city average around 21 °C, so any northward shift in the jet stream or clearer skies would favor the higher outcomes. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日伦敦气温最高？
8月25日伦敦气温最高？
22°C 29%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
24°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
17%
22°C
29%
23°C
27%
24°C
17%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 29%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
24°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
17°C or below
$57 交易量
<1%
18°C
$58 交易量
<1%
19°C
$225 交易量
3%
20°C
$187 交易量
9%
21°C
$239 交易量
17%
22°C
$168 交易量
29%
23°C
$77 交易量
27%
24°C
$338 交易量
17%
25°C
$182 交易量
8%
26°C
$64 交易量
4%
27°C or higher
$52 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in the strength of an Atlantic ridge and associated cloud cover that could suppress daytime heating by 1–2 °C. With probabilities tightly clustered between 21 °C and 24 °C, traders are weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction that determine whether peak readings reach or fall short of the 23 °C threshold. Historical late-August baselines for the city average around 21 °C, so any northward shift in the jet stream or clearer skies would favor the higher outcomes. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,648结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in the strength of an Atlantic ridge and associated cloud cover that could suppress daytime heating by 1–2 °C. With probabilities tightly clustered between 21 °C and 24 °C, traders are weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction that determine whether peak readings reach or fall short of the 23 °C threshold. Historical late-August baselines for the city average around 21 °C, so any northward shift in the jet stream or clearer skies would favor the higher outcomes. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,648结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's maximum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in the strength of an Atlantic ridge and associated cloud cover that could suppress daytime heating by 1–2 °C. With probabilities tightly clustered between 21 °C and 24 °C, traders are weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction that determine whether peak readings reach or fall short of the 23 °C threshold. Historical late-August baselines for the city average around 21 °C, so any northward shift in the jet stream or clearer skies would favor the higher outcomes. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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