Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日上海气温最高？
8月23日上海气温最高？
31°C 44%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
44%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
26°C or below
$176 交易量
<1%
27°C
$256 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$17 交易量
5%
30°C
$334 交易量
15%
31°C
$191 交易量
44%
32°C
$102 交易量
26%
33°C
$0 交易量
6%
34°C
$74 交易量
2%
35°C
$20 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$179 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,350结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,350结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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