Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 21 project a maximum of 21°C under sunny intervals, aligning closely with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects a cooling trend following mid-August highs near 27°C, as Atlantic influences moderate temperatures toward the long-term August average of roughly 22°C. Key drivers include regional pressure patterns favoring stable, mild conditions rather than intense heat, with model consensus from agencies like the Met Office limiting upside risk above 23°C to under 12% combined probability. Traders appear to weigh this against minor forecast uncertainty in late-summer variability, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日伦敦气温最高？
8月21日伦敦气温最高？
21°C 38%
22°C 26%
20°C 21%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
38%
22°C
26%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 38%
22°C 26%
20°C 21%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
$584 交易量
1%
18°C
$76 交易量
2%
19°C
$85 交易量
7%
20°C
$92 交易量
21%
21°C
$361 交易量
38%
22°C
$151 交易量
26%
23°C
$213 交易量
8%
24°C
$74 交易量
4%
25°C
$54 交易量
<1%
26°C
$164 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$444 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 21 project a maximum of 21°C under sunny intervals, aligning closely with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects a cooling trend following mid-August highs near 27°C, as Atlantic influences moderate temperatures toward the long-term August average of roughly 22°C. Key drivers include regional pressure patterns favoring stable, mild conditions rather than intense heat, with model consensus from agencies like the Met Office limiting upside risk above 23°C to under 12% combined probability. Traders appear to weigh this against minor forecast uncertainty in late-summer variability, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,297结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 21 project a maximum of 21°C under sunny intervals, aligning closely with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects a cooling trend following mid-August highs near 27°C, as Atlantic influences moderate temperatures toward the long-term August average of roughly 22°C. Key drivers include regional pressure patterns favoring stable, mild conditions rather than intense heat, with model consensus from agencies like the Met Office limiting upside risk above 23°C to under 12% combined probability. Traders appear to weigh this against minor forecast uncertainty in late-summer variability, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,297结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts for London on August 21 project a maximum of 21°C under sunny intervals, aligning closely with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects a cooling trend following mid-August highs near 27°C, as Atlantic influences moderate temperatures toward the long-term August average of roughly 22°C. Key drivers include regional pressure patterns favoring stable, mild conditions rather than intense heat, with model consensus from agencies like the Met Office limiting upside risk above 23°C to under 12% combined probability. Traders appear to weigh this against minor forecast uncertainty in late-summer variability, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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