Recent Met Office guidance and BBC forecasts point to a 23–24°C maximum in London on August 19 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Ensemble models show modest disagreement on cloud thickness and any scattered showers, which could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings slightly higher. Recent cooling after mid-August warmth has established a near-normal baseline, while the absence of strong high pressure or significant Atlantic fronts leaves room for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these short-range uncertainties against typical late-summer variability in southeast England.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日伦敦气温最高？
8月19日伦敦气温最高？
24°C 36%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
29%
24°C
36%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 36%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
20°C or below
$18 交易量
1%
21°C
$31 交易量
4%
22°C
$59 交易量
7%
23°C
$80 交易量
29%
24°C
$87 交易量
36%
25°C
$88 交易量
17%
26°C
$100 交易量
6%
27°C
$5 交易量
4%
28°C
$112 交易量
<1%
29°C
$286 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$276 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and BBC forecasts point to a 23–24°C maximum in London on August 19 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Ensemble models show modest disagreement on cloud thickness and any scattered showers, which could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings slightly higher. Recent cooling after mid-August warmth has established a near-normal baseline, while the absence of strong high pressure or significant Atlantic fronts leaves room for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these short-range uncertainties against typical late-summer variability in southeast England.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,142结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and BBC forecasts point to a 23–24°C maximum in London on August 19 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Ensemble models show modest disagreement on cloud thickness and any scattered showers, which could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings slightly higher. Recent cooling after mid-August warmth has established a near-normal baseline, while the absence of strong high pressure or significant Atlantic fronts leaves room for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these short-range uncertainties against typical late-summer variability in southeast England.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,142结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and BBC forecasts point to a 23–24°C maximum in London on August 19 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Ensemble models show modest disagreement on cloud thickness and any scattered showers, which could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings slightly higher. Recent cooling after mid-August warmth has established a near-normal baseline, while the absence of strong high pressure or significant Atlantic fronts leaves room for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these short-range uncertainties against typical late-summer variability in southeast England.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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