Recent model consensus from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 19, with maximum temperatures most likely between 17–20 °C amid variable cloud cover and southeasterly flow. This keeps the 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes narrowly ahead in the market, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, marine stratus dissipation timing, and daytime solar insolation under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Typical August climatology shows mean highs near 17–18 °C, but short-term variability from Atlantic frontal approaches or berg-wind episodes can shift the daily peak by 2–3 °C, which traders weigh against the latest 00Z and 12Z runs expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日开普敦气温最高?
18°C 22%
23°C或更高 19%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
13%
17°C
14%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
13%
21°C
11%
22°C
16%
23°C或更高
19%
18°C 22%
23°C或更高 19%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
13%
17°C
14%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
13%
21°C
11%
22°C
16%
23°C或更高
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 19, with maximum temperatures most likely between 17–20 °C amid variable cloud cover and southeasterly flow. This keeps the 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes narrowly ahead in the market, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, marine stratus dissipation timing, and daytime solar insolation under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Typical August climatology shows mean highs near 17–18 °C, but short-term variability from Atlantic frontal approaches or berg-wind episodes can shift the daily peak by 2–3 °C, which traders weigh against the latest 00Z and 12Z runs expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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