Recent short-range forecasts from models referenced by the UK Met Office and others indicate a Paris maximum of 28–29°C on August 17, following the mid-month heatwave peak of 36–38°C. The implied probabilities—59.5% for 29°C and 32% for 28°C—reflect consensus on post-heatwave moderation driven by advection of cooler Atlantic air, modest increases in cloud cover, and typical August steering patterns that limit further intensification. Trader positioning accounts for standard forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C around official guidance, concentrating nearly 90% probability mass on these two outcomes while sharply discounting 30°C or higher. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine the exact maximum ahead of daily resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日巴黎气温最高？
8月17日巴黎气温最高？
29°C 55%
28°C 37%
30°C 6%
27°C 4%
最新
$37,947 交易量
最新
$37,947 交易量
2026-08-17
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
37%
29°C
55%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 37%
30°C 6%
27°C 4%
最新
$37,947 交易量
最新
$37,947 交易量
2026-08-17
24°C或以下
$334 交易量
<1%
25°C
$519 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,762 交易量
<1%
27°C
$4,753 交易量
4%
28°C
$9,146 交易量
37%
29°C
$10,162 交易量
55%
30°C
$4,045 交易量
6%
31°C
$2,600 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,301 交易量
<1%
33°C
$557 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$813 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models referenced by the UK Met Office and others indicate a Paris maximum of 28–29°C on August 17, following the mid-month heatwave peak of 36–38°C. The implied probabilities—59.5% for 29°C and 32% for 28°C—reflect consensus on post-heatwave moderation driven by advection of cooler Atlantic air, modest increases in cloud cover, and typical August steering patterns that limit further intensification. Trader positioning accounts for standard forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C around official guidance, concentrating nearly 90% probability mass on these two outcomes while sharply discounting 30°C or higher. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine the exact maximum ahead of daily resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$37,947结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models referenced by the UK Met Office and others indicate a Paris maximum of 28–29°C on August 17, following the mid-month heatwave peak of 36–38°C. The implied probabilities—59.5% for 29°C and 32% for 28°C—reflect consensus on post-heatwave moderation driven by advection of cooler Atlantic air, modest increases in cloud cover, and typical August steering patterns that limit further intensification. Trader positioning accounts for standard forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C around official guidance, concentrating nearly 90% probability mass on these two outcomes while sharply discounting 30°C or higher. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine the exact maximum ahead of daily resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,947结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETRecent short-range forecasts from models referenced by the UK Met Office and others indicate a Paris maximum of 28–29°C on August 17, following the mid-month heatwave peak of 36–38°C. The implied probabilities—59.5% for 29°C and 32% for 28°C—reflect consensus on post-heatwave moderation driven by advection of cooler Atlantic air, modest increases in cloud cover, and typical August steering patterns that limit further intensification. Trader positioning accounts for standard forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C around official guidance, concentrating nearly 90% probability mass on these two outcomes while sharply discounting 30°C or higher. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine the exact maximum ahead of daily resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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