Recent forecast guidance from models such as the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a modest high near 21°C on August 18 in Amsterdam, keeping 21°C and 20°C outcomes closely matched in trader sentiment. Primary drivers include a weak Atlantic trough promoting moderate onshore flow, variable cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation, and dew-point temperatures supporting efficient mixing without strong surface heating. Minor shifts in ridge positioning or reduced afternoon convection could nudge maxima toward 22°C, while increased marine layer stratus or earlier frontal passage would favor 19°C or below. Historical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 21°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, underscoring why these narrow thresholds capture most probability mass as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月18日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
21°C 37%
20°C 26%
19°C 16%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
9%
19°C
16%
20°C
26%
21°C
29%
22°C
13%
23°C
5%
24°C或更高
3%
21°C 37%
20°C 26%
19°C 16%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C
$0 交易量
<1%
16°C
$0 交易量
<1%
17°C
$0 交易量
1%
18°C
$15 交易量
9%
19°C
$5 交易量
16%
20°C
$29 交易量
26%
21°C
$10 交易量
29%
22°C
$24 交易量
13%
23°C
$3 交易量
5%
24°C或更高
$22 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models such as the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a modest high near 21°C on August 18 in Amsterdam, keeping 21°C and 20°C outcomes closely matched in trader sentiment. Primary drivers include a weak Atlantic trough promoting moderate onshore flow, variable cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation, and dew-point temperatures supporting efficient mixing without strong surface heating. Minor shifts in ridge positioning or reduced afternoon convection could nudge maxima toward 22°C, while increased marine layer stratus or earlier frontal passage would favor 19°C or below. Historical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 21°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, underscoring why these narrow thresholds capture most probability mass as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$108结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models such as the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a modest high near 21°C on August 18 in Amsterdam, keeping 21°C and 20°C outcomes closely matched in trader sentiment. Primary drivers include a weak Atlantic trough promoting moderate onshore flow, variable cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation, and dew-point temperatures supporting efficient mixing without strong surface heating. Minor shifts in ridge positioning or reduced afternoon convection could nudge maxima toward 22°C, while increased marine layer stratus or earlier frontal passage would favor 19°C or below. Historical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 21°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, underscoring why these narrow thresholds capture most probability mass as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$108结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from models such as the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a modest high near 21°C on August 18 in Amsterdam, keeping 21°C and 20°C outcomes closely matched in trader sentiment. Primary drivers include a weak Atlantic trough promoting moderate onshore flow, variable cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation, and dew-point temperatures supporting efficient mixing without strong surface heating. Minor shifts in ridge positioning or reduced afternoon convection could nudge maxima toward 22°C, while increased marine layer stratus or earlier frontal passage would favor 19°C or below. Historical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 21°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, underscoring why these narrow thresholds capture most probability mass as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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