Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show model consensus favoring a 31–32°C peak in Munich on August 16, driven by building high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap temperatures near 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. With two-day lead times, observational updates from surface stations and satellite data will refine these projections before resolution, consistent with typical August variability where daily highs average near 24°C but warm anomalies occur frequently. Trader positioning around these central outcomes aligns with the narrow but real forecast dispersion rather than climatological norms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月16日慕尼黑气温最高？
31°C 39%
32°C 31%
30°C 14%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
28°C or below
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
39%
32°C
31%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 31%
30°C 14%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
28°C or below
$58 交易量
2%
29°C
$87 交易量
4%
30°C
$225 交易量
14%
31°C
$2,173 交易量
39%
32°C
$291 交易量
31%
33°C
$231 交易量
10%
34°C
$144 交易量
2%
35°C
$73 交易量
2%
36°C
$814 交易量
<1%
37°C
$923 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$238 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show model consensus favoring a 31–32°C peak in Munich on August 16, driven by building high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap temperatures near 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. With two-day lead times, observational updates from surface stations and satellite data will refine these projections before resolution, consistent with typical August variability where daily highs average near 24°C but warm anomalies occur frequently. Trader positioning around these central outcomes aligns with the narrow but real forecast dispersion rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,257结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show model consensus favoring a 31–32°C peak in Munich on August 16, driven by building high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap temperatures near 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. With two-day lead times, observational updates from surface stations and satellite data will refine these projections before resolution, consistent with typical August variability where daily highs average near 24°C but warm anomalies occur frequently. Trader positioning around these central outcomes aligns with the narrow but real forecast dispersion rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,257结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show model consensus favoring a 31–32°C peak in Munich on August 16, driven by building high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap temperatures near 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. With two-day lead times, observational updates from surface stations and satellite data will refine these projections before resolution, consistent with typical August variability where daily highs average near 24°C but warm anomalies occur frequently. Trader positioning around these central outcomes aligns with the narrow but real forecast dispersion rather than climatological norms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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