**High pressure dominating southern England is sustaining a heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a peak of 32–33°C in London on August 14 after Thursday’s potential 36°C spike.** The Met Office currently forecasts a 32°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions, while other guidance shows slight variations around 33°C depending on the exact timing of any subtle cooling or increased boundary-layer moisture. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow but include realistic scenarios for minor shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud that could trim or add a degree. Urban heat-island effects and the precise measurement station (typically Heathrow) add further uncertainty within that narrow band. New model runs and official updates through Friday morning will likely resolve the final degree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日伦敦气温最高？
8月14日伦敦气温最高？
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
31°C 19%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
19%
32°C
30%
33°C
34%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
31°C 19%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
29°C or below
$260 交易量
2%
30°C
$178 交易量
6%
31°C
$225 交易量
19%
32°C
$485 交易量
30%
33°C
$338 交易量
34%
34°C
$177 交易量
13%
35°C
$80 交易量
2%
36°C
$82 交易量
1%
37°C
$56 交易量
<1%
38°C
$210 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$452 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure dominating southern England is sustaining a heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a peak of 32–33°C in London on August 14 after Thursday’s potential 36°C spike.** The Met Office currently forecasts a 32°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions, while other guidance shows slight variations around 33°C depending on the exact timing of any subtle cooling or increased boundary-layer moisture.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow but include realistic scenarios for minor shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud that could trim or add a degree. Urban heat-island effects and the precise measurement station (typically Heathrow) add further uncertainty within that narrow band. New model runs and official updates through Friday morning will likely resolve the final degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,544结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure dominating southern England is sustaining a heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a peak of 32–33°C in London on August 14 after Thursday’s potential 36°C spike.** The Met Office currently forecasts a 32°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions, while other guidance shows slight variations around 33°C depending on the exact timing of any subtle cooling or increased boundary-layer moisture.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow but include realistic scenarios for minor shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud that could trim or add a degree. Urban heat-island effects and the precise measurement station (typically Heathrow) add further uncertainty within that narrow band. New model runs and official updates through Friday morning will likely resolve the final degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,544结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET**High pressure dominating southern England is sustaining a heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a peak of 32–33°C in London on August 14 after Thursday’s potential 36°C spike.** The Met Office currently forecasts a 32°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions, while other guidance shows slight variations around 33°C depending on the exact timing of any subtle cooling or increased boundary-layer moisture. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow but include realistic scenarios for minor shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud that could trim or add a degree. Urban heat-island effects and the precise measurement station (typically Heathrow) add further uncertainty within that narrow band. New model runs and official updates through Friday morning will likely resolve the final degree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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