Recent heat across Hong Kong, including the August 9 record high of 36.8 °C at the Hong Kong Observatory, has kept trader focus on peak readings near or above seasonal norms amid a broader normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook from the HKO for August–October. Official forecasts for August 12 center on 28–34 °C under sunny periods with isolated showers, reflecting model consensus on modest diurnal heating tempered by humidity and potential cloud cover. Differentiation between the closely matched 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convective cooling, with resolution depending on the official maximum at the HKO station. Traders weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 31 °C and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日香港气温最高？
8月12日香港气温最高？
33°C 37%
34°C 36%
32°C 12%
35°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
37%
34°C
36%
35°C
12%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 37%
34°C 36%
32°C 12%
35°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
28°C或以下
$1,194 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,260 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,190 交易量
<1%
31°C
$267 交易量
3%
32°C
$679 交易量
12%
33°C
$1,631 交易量
37%
34°C
$560 交易量
36%
35°C
$956 交易量
12%
36°C
$1,254 交易量
4%
37°C
$726 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$233 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heat across Hong Kong, including the August 9 record high of 36.8 °C at the Hong Kong Observatory, has kept trader focus on peak readings near or above seasonal norms amid a broader normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook from the HKO for August–October. Official forecasts for August 12 center on 28–34 °C under sunny periods with isolated showers, reflecting model consensus on modest diurnal heating tempered by humidity and potential cloud cover. Differentiation between the closely matched 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convective cooling, with resolution depending on the official maximum at the HKO station. Traders weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 31 °C and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$9,950结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heat across Hong Kong, including the August 9 record high of 36.8 °C at the Hong Kong Observatory, has kept trader focus on peak readings near or above seasonal norms amid a broader normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook from the HKO for August–October. Official forecasts for August 12 center on 28–34 °C under sunny periods with isolated showers, reflecting model consensus on modest diurnal heating tempered by humidity and potential cloud cover. Differentiation between the closely matched 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convective cooling, with resolution depending on the official maximum at the HKO station. Traders weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 31 °C and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,950结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heat across Hong Kong, including the August 9 record high of 36.8 °C at the Hong Kong Observatory, has kept trader focus on peak readings near or above seasonal norms amid a broader normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook from the HKO for August–October. Official forecasts for August 12 center on 28–34 °C under sunny periods with isolated showers, reflecting model consensus on modest diurnal heating tempered by humidity and potential cloud cover. Differentiation between the closely matched 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convective cooling, with resolution depending on the official maximum at the HKO station. Traders weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 31 °C and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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